Football Manager Expert and Political Betting Specialist across Exchange and Spread Betting Sites
- Sir Keir Starmer is the 1/1000 favourite to regain his Holborn and St Pancras seat at the General Election
- Conservatives chances of a shock win at the constituency are as big as 200/1
- Rishi Sunak's odds to win his constituency are nowhere near as short to win as General Election rival Starmer
Sir Keir Starmer is the 1/1000 favourite to regain his Holborn and St Pancras seat at the General Election
Labour Leader Sir Keir Starmer is now 1/1000 to regain his seat in Holborn and St Pancras with the local constituency odds now being offered by betting sites ahead of the 2024 UK General Election.
The UK heads to the polls on 4 July with Holborn and St Pancras just one of more than 600 seats that will be voted on up and down the UK and it's expected that Labour will win comfortably here.
Labour's chances in Holborn and St Pancras are one biggest across all of the constituencies with Starmer 1/1000 to regain the seat according to William Hill's odds.
Conservatives are second favourites in the constituency with their odds as big as 200/1 to win the seat ahead of Starmer with Mehreen Malik chosen as candidate.
| Holborn and St Pancras Constituency | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 1/1000 | 99.9% |
| Conservatives | 200/1 | 0.5% |
| Liberal Democrats | 250/1 | 0.4% |
| Reform UK | 250/1 | 0.4% |
| Green Party | 250/1 | 0.4% |
What the expert says...
Conservatives chances of a shock win at the constituency are as big as 200/1
Conservative candidate Mehreen Malik has a slim chance of beating Starmer at the polls next month judging by the latest odds that are offered.
Malik has a 0.4% implied probability of being voted in on July 4 with Starmer's latest chances according to the betting odds at 99.9%.
Starmer has held the seat since 2015 where he won with a total vote of 52.9% and since then he's had 70.1% and 64.5% in the next two elections following that.
UK General Election Betting Odds
Rishi Sunak's odds to win his constituency are nowhere near as short to win as General Election rival Starmer
Rishi Sunak is also odds on to win in his constituency at next month's General Election but his odds aren't anywhere near as short as Starmer's are to win.
Sunak is 1/5 to win in Richmond and Northallerton with the constituency being new for the 2024 General Election following the 2023 Periodic review of Westminster constituencies.
Labour though are 3/1 to win the seat here with their chances greater than the Tories are in Starmer's constituency, with an upset given a real chance of happening here.
| Richmond and Northallerton Constituency Winner | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Conservatives (Rishi Sunak) | 1/5 | 83.3% |
| Labour | 3/1 | 25.0% |
| Reform UK | 33/1 | 2.9% |
| Liberal Democrats | 66/1 | 1.5% |
| Green Party | 150/1 | 0.7% |
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Political Betting Author Information
Political Betting Expert
Jake Ashton
Senior News Editor
