Weekly Betting Roundup: FA Cup Favourites Hold Firm, Dorking Surge & Love Island Market Shifts

Manchester City remain FA Cup favourites, Dorking go top in National League South, Love Island odds shift again and Reform move odds-on for Local Elections in this week’s betting roundup.
Weekly Betting Roundup: FA Cup Favourites Hold Firm, Dorking Surge & Love Island Market Shifts
Jake Ashton
Jake Ashton - Your Betting Odds Guide 👍

I break betting odds news as it happens, so you’re never left behind when the market moves or a top offer lands.

  • Manchester City remain 3/1 favourites for the FA Cup after a steady fourth round.
  • Dorking move top of National League South and shorten to 11/8 for the title.
  • Reform go odds-on at 3/10 for the 2026 UK Local Elections.

FA Cup Fourth Round: No Major Shocks as City Lead Market

UK betting sites saw little movement at the top of the FA Cup winner market this weekend, with no major upsets in the Fourth Round to shake up the outright odds.

Manchester City remain the 3/1 favourites with Bet365 to lift the trophy, while Arsenal sit close behind at 10/3. 

Both clubs remain in contention for an historic Quadruple, keeping pressure firmly on domestic and European rivals.

Liverpool round out the top three at 5/1, with Chelsea priced at 11/2 and Newcastle at 8/1 as we await the Fifth Round draw later today.

FA Cup Winner 2025/26
Odds
Man City3/1
Arsenal10/3
Liverpool5/1
Chelsea11/2
Newcastle8/1

With the draw still to come, prices could fluctuate depending on potential heavyweight clashes.

Dorking Fire Top of National League South

One of the standout football stories of the weekend came in the National League South, where Dorking secured a chaotic 5–3 victory over Farnborough to climb to the top of the table.

Eight goals lit up the contest, with both sides trading long-range strikes before Dorking’s set-piece strength ultimately proved decisive. 

Goals from Brennan Camp and Alfie Rutherford ensured the three points in an end-to-end thriller.

National League South Winner
Odds
Dorking11/8
Torquay3/1
Hornchurch7/2
Worthing16/1
Weston Super Mare16/1

Dorking now sit as 11/8 favourites, reflecting both current league position and recent momentum. 

Torquay and Hornchurch remain within striking distance but betting sites clearly believe Dorking’s attacking firepower gives them the edge.

Love Island All Stars: Samie & Ciaran Shorten

Over on the entertainment front, William Hill reported another shift in the Love Island All Stars winner market.

Samie Elishi & Ciaran Davies have shortened into 7/4 favourites as the series approaches its finale, replacing long-term market leaders Millie Court & Zac Woodworth, who have drifted to 2/1.

The shift followed a tense episode featuring emotional family video calls that appear to have influenced public sentiment.

Love Island All Stars Winning Couple
OddsImplied Probability
Samie & Ciaran7/436.4%
Lucinda & Sean15/834.8%
Millie & Zac2/133.3%
Whitney & Yamen12/17.7%

Reform Go Odds-On for Local Elections

Political betting also made headlines this week.

Markets are now live for the 2026 UK Local Elections, with Reform installed as overwhelming 3/10 favourites to emerge as the winning party.

With 4,348 council seats across 106 English local authorities up for grabs on Thursday 7 May 2026, the scale of the vote makes it one of the most significant pre-General Election tests.

UK Local Elections 2026 – Winning Party
OddsImplied Probability
Reform3/1076.9%
Labour5/116.7%
Conservative6/114.3%
Liberal Democrats9/110.0%
Green9/110.0%
UK Local Elections 2026 Winning Party Odds: Reform 3/10 Favourites for 2026 UK Local Elections Victory
ALSO READ

UK Local Elections 2026 Winning Party Odds: Reform 3/10 Favourites for 2026 UK Local Elections Victory

OLBG Expert Insight: Momentum the Theme of the Week

What the expert says...
This week’s markets all share one theme, momentum. Manchester City continue to justify favouritism in the FA Cup, Dorking’s form has driven them clear in National League South, and Reform’s early positioning reflects campaign confidence. Meanwhile, Love Island reminds us how quickly sentiment can shift in entertainment betting.

Jake Ashton - Betting Expert - OLBG.com

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