I break betting odds news as it happens, so you’re never left behind when the market moves or a top offer lands.
- Balvinder Sopal is 2/7 favourite for the next elimination after surviving five dance-offs, a Strictly record.
- Amber Davies is second favourite at 4/1, ahead of George Clarke at 7/1.
- Karen Carney has shortened to 8/11 to win Strictly Come Dancing 2025 outright.
Balvinder Sopal 2/7 to Go Next After Record Fifth Dance-Off Survival
Strictly Come Dancing history was made last weekend as Balvinder Sopal and partner Julian Caillon became the first couple in the programme’s 21-year run to survive five dance-offs.
But despite her resilience, the betting market suggests the fairytale may finally end this week.
William Hill have cut Sopal into 2/7 to be the next celebrity eliminated, a price reflecting the remarkable, but likely unsustainable, run she has survived.
While Balvinder continues to win respect for her determination, public vote patterns and judges’ scoring trends often become even more decisive at this stage of the competition.
Her latest price indicates that bookmakers believe her luck, however historic, is close to running out.
Behind her, Amber Davies at 4/1 remains her closest rival in the elimination market, with George Clarke (7/1) and Lewis Cope (16/1) further out.
The least likely to go is current series favourite Karen Carney, available at 28/1 for elimination.
Strictly Come Dancing 2025 Next Elimination Odds
| Strictly Come Dancing 2025 Next Elimination | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Balvinder Sopal | 2/7 | 77.8% |
| Amber Davies | 4/1 | 20.0% |
| George Clarke | 7/1 | 12.5% |
| Lewis Cope | 16/1 | 5.9% |
| Karen Carney | 28/1 | 3.4% |
Why Balvinder Is Shortening at the Bottom of the Market
Balvinder’s Strictly journey has become one of the most compelling storylines of the series, but the betting market reflects several underlying factors.
Historically, once a celebrity falls into multiple dance-offs, a point arrives where their routine can no longer surpass their competitor's.
Amber Davies and George Clarke both delivered improved performances last weekend, increasing pressure on Balvinder.
Karen Carney Firms Into 8/11 Favourite To Win
While the elimination market supports Balvinder’s exit, the outright market is forming the opposite narrative.
Karen Carney has now shortened to 8/11 to be crowned Strictly Champion, solidifying her status as one of the strongest performers of the season.
Trailing her is George Clarke at 2/1, who continues to make improvements each week, with Lewis Cope at 4/1 further behind.
What the expert says...
Strictly Come Dancing 2025 Outright Winner Odds
| Strictly Come Dancing 2025 Winner | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Karen Carney | 8/11 | 57.9% |
| George Clarke | 2/1 | 33.3% |
| Lewis Cope | 4/1 | 20.0% |
| Amber Davies | 33/1 | 2.9% |
| Balvinder Sopal | 80/1 | 1.2% |
Where to Bet on Strictly Come Dancing 2025
Punters can compare UK betting sites offering Strictly markets, including next elimination, outright winner, and weekly specials.
This also includes OLBG’s guide to the best entertainment betting sites, covering reality TV and other events.
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