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- Spain are 5/4 favourites at bet365 to win their second World Cup, with Argentina at 13/5
- Lionel Messi at 39 takes on 19-year-old Lamine Yamal
- QuinnBet have priced up three boosts on the fixture including Messi and Yamal shot specials
Sunday's Final: Two Champions, One Trophy
Sunday's World Cup Final at MetLife Stadium sees Spain, Europe's reigning champions, take on Argentina, the defending World Cup holders, in what might just be the most anticipated football match of the decade.
Two teams, both champions, both looking to add another star to their shirt. And running right through the middle of it, one storyline everyone's talking about. Lionel Messi, aged 39, taking on Lamine Yamal, aged 19.
Twenty years between them. This might genuinely be Messi's last dance on the game's biggest stage, and he's meeting the kid who's already being talked about as the man to inherit his mantle.
Everyone has seen THAT picture of Messi holding Yamal as a baby, and now they meet for the World Cup.
Bookmakers are offering odds and boosts for Sunday's big game, and we'll run through some of the highlights.
Spain vs Argentina Full Match Odds
| 90 Minute Result | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Spain | 5/4 | 44.44% |
| Draw | 2/1 | 33.33% |
| Argentina | 13/5 | 27.78% |
Why Spain Are Favourites
Look at Spain's defensive record and you'll see it, they've conceded exactly one goal in seven matches at this World Cup. Just one.
Spain are going for their second World Cup, 16 years after their first triumph in South Africa in 2010. And this is a genuinely different Spain to the tiki-taka side that won it back then.
Any team that concedes one goal across seven tournament games is going to head into any final as the shorter of the two prices, even if it is against Lionel Messi and co.
Argentina at 13/5: Never, Ever Write Them Off
Argentina at 13/5 is the bookies' way of saying they're the underdog, but nobody's dismissing them. And nobody should.
They're defending the title they won in 2022, they're going for a third star overall, and they have Messi in their team.
His Argentina side's tournament has been a mix of the individual brilliance he continues to produce and the collective structure the squad has built around him.
Wednesday's Semi-Final showed their resilience once again to come from a goal down to win late on thanks to Messi's individual brilliance, assisting Martinez's winner with a great cross.
QuinnBet Boosts for the Final
QuinnBet have priced up three price boosts specifically for the final, and they're worth flagging because they're built around the storylines everyone's actually going to be watching.
Spain Win over 2.5 boost - the goals angle that pairs the favourite winning with the type of open, high-scoring final knockout football has been producing in recent World Cups.
Spain to Win & Over 2.5 Goals in the Match - was 13/4, now 7/2!
Odds correct at time of publishing. 18+ only. Be Gamble Aware.
SEE OFFER#ad. 18 , gambleaware.org, T&Cs Apply
Argentina win + Messi goal boost - the emotional storyline priced up as a specific boost.
Argentina to Win & Messi to Score - was 4/1, now 17/4!
Odds correct at time of publishing. 18+ only. Be Gamble Aware.
SEE OFFER#ad. 18 , gambleaware.org, T&Cs Apply
Messi + Yamal shots boost - this is the one for anyone watching the generational angle rather than the result.
Messi & Yamal 2+ Shots on Target Each - was 17/4, now 19/4!
Odds correct at time of publishing. 18+ only. Be Gamble Aware.
SEE OFFER#ad. 18 , gambleaware.org, T&Cs Apply
Where To Bet on the Final
Any final generates a big offer landscape, and the best football betting sites all have deep markets running on this one, including bet builders, first goalscorer specials, method of victory, penalty shootout markets, the lot.
Comparing across the leading UK bookies is worth doing on a fixture where the pricing is this close to genuinely 50/50 and variance between operators can meaningfully shift the pricing on secondary markets.
