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Sadiq Khan is a 50% chance in Next Mayor of London Betting, despite cancelling NYE Fireworks

Steve Madgwick

Published: Oct 13, 9:31am Last Updated: Oct 14, 8:46am 0 Comments 9 Views

London NYE Fireworks Cancelled for a Second Year

Mayor of London Sadiq Khan is under fire, as is par for the course in the job, for amongst other things, cancelling the New years Eve Fireworks display in London for the second consecutive year.

It has not harmed his chance of retaining his position in the Mayor of London Betting however, as he retains a 50% chance of keeping the job when the elections come around in 2024.

Next Mayor of London Betting Odds

Mayor Odds Probability
Sadiq Khan Evens 50%
Rory Stewart 8/1 11%
David Lammy 12/1 7.69%
George Osbourne 25/1 3.85%
Dawn Butler 33/1 2.94%
Piers Morgan  50/1 1.96%
Nigel Farage 66/1 1.49%


The Mayoral election was binned due to COVID in 2021 and betting sites are already taking bets on the next election in 2024

Sadiq Khan would seem to have no rival for the position of Mayor of London even though the next election is not scheduled until 2024. He has a 50% chance at EVENS odds with Rory Stewart and David Lammy distant rivals in the betting.

Nigel Skinner - Political Betting Expert - OLBG.com

The Contenders

Sadiq Khan is the incumbent Mayor of London. His nearest rivals in the betting for the next Election are Rory Stewart and David Lammy.

Rory Stewart

Stewart is the former Secretary of State for International Development and has been replaced in that role by Alok Sharma, who is actually the favourite in the next cabinet minister to Leave post betting, since Gavin Williams' exit and Dominic Raabs demotion.

Stewart resigned from the Conservative party in 2019 and whilst planned to run for Mayor this year as an independent, he withdrew due to the cancellation.

David Lammy

David Lammy is a Labour MP serving Tottenham in London and is the current Shadow Secretary of State for Justice and Shadow Lord Chancellor.

He contested the 2016 mayoral election and finished fourth behind Khan, Tessa Jowell and Diane Abbot


The Also-Rans

Piers Morgan seems to appear in every betting market for every event, including Next Presenter of Match of the Day, a potential contestant on I'm a Celebrity Get Me Out Of Here, and even in the Next Prime Minister Betting, so it is no surprise to find him in the betting for London Mayor although 50/1 odds really do reflect his chances.

That said, he is given a better chance of the position than Nigel Farage, who is a 66/1 shot, although the latter is more likely to table a bid than the former GMB presenter who famously walked out of the show.

Bookmakers give Piers Morgan a better chance of becoming Mayor of London than they do Nigel Farage at 66/1

Nigel Skinner - Political Betting Expert - OLBG.com

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