Ryder Cup 2025 Odds: Who Will Make Team Europe for Bethpage Black?

Rory McIlroy is locked in for Ryder Cup 2025 after his Masters triumph. See the odds on who else could qualify for Team Europe ahead of the showdown at Bethpage Black this September.
Ryder Cup 2025 Odds: Who Will Make Team Europe for Bethpage Black?

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James Banting
James Banting Expert Guide

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  • Ryder Cup 2025 takes place September 23–28 at Bethpage Black, New York.
  • Rory McIlroy is now a confirmed Team Europe lock after winning The Masters.
  • Top 6 players in the European points list automatically qualify, with captain's picks to follow.

McIlroy Locks Spot as Team Europe Race Heats Up

After his historic Masters win in April, Rory McIlroy now leads the European points standings with a commanding margin of over 1,800 points, making him a near-certainty for Team Europe at the 2025 Ryder Cup.

Behind him, a mix of seasoned Ryder Cup veterans and rising stars are battling it out for the six automatic qualifying spots, with plenty of movement expected over the summer schedule.

This year has a total ranking points system based on their performances in the majors and the PGA and World Tour events across the season.

McIlroy's clear lead at the top of the ranking points means he doesn't feature in the market, with second place Tyrrell Hatton topping the odds at 1/3.

Ryder Cup 2025 - Team Europe QualificationOdds*Probability
Tyrrell Hatton1/375.0%
Rasmus Højgaard4/660.0%
Justin Rose1/150.0%
Shane Lowry6/440.0%
Ludvig Åberg7/436.4%
Tommy Fleetwood2/133.3%
Thomas Detry3/125.0%
Matt Wallace4/120.0%
Niklas Norgaard5/116.7%
Robert MacIntyre6/114.3%

*As betting sites currently aren't taking bets on this event, odds have been compiled as theoretical probability from an entertainment perspective only and come from an industry expert

What the expert says...
McIlroy locking in early isn’t a surprise, but it’s really tight between Hatton, Højgaard, and Rose for those remaining auto spots. Watch for Åberg, his trajectory is rapid and a few good finishes this summer could lock him in.

Jake Ashton - Sports Betting Expert - OLBG.com

Captain’s Picks and Wildcards in Play

After the top six earn automatic spots, Team Europe captain Luke Donald will make six captain’s picks, likely favouring a mix of experience, form, and match-play compatibility. 

Names like Fleetwood, Lowry, MacIntyre, and Hovland remain firmly in contention despite currently sitting outside the top six.

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When and Where is the 2025 Ryder Cup?

The 44th Ryder Cup will take place from September 23–28, 2025, at the Bethpage Black Course in Farmingdale, New York, marking the first time the event has returned to U.S. soil since Whistling Straits in 2021.

Team Europe has not won in America since 2012 with the US winning in 2021 and 2016 in the last two American hosted events.

Europe will be looking to defend the trophy after their win in Rome in 2023, and with qualification now fully underway, attention turns to who will secure a place alongside team talisman Rory McIlroy.

Ryder Cup 2025 WinnerOddsProbability
Team USA10/1356.5%
Tie12/17.7%
Europe5/444.4%
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