I break betting odds news as it happens, so you’re never left behind when the market moves or a top offer lands.
- Barcelona have surged into favouritism to sign Rodri, now priced at 1/6 with Virgin Bet after entering official club-to-club talks with Manchester City
- Fabrizio Romano confirmed Barcelona are "very confident" of completing the deal, with an initial offer of just over €45m tabled
- Real Madrid, previously the long-time favourites, have drifted out to 4/1 as the Barcelona move gathers pace
Dramatic Shift In The Rodri Saga
Few transfer stories have moved as quickly as Rodri's this week, and bookmakers have had to react fast to keep up.
What had long looked like a straightforward choice between Real Madrid and Manchester City retaining their player has been turned on its head, with Barcelona now the clear favourites according to Virgin Bet, following official confirmation of direct talks between the two clubs.
The update came directly from respected journalist Fabrizio Romano, who confirmed on social media that Barcelona are now in official club-to-club talks with Manchester City and are "very confident" of getting a deal done.
According to Romano, Barcelona's initial indications point to a fee slightly over €45 million, while City are pushing for a higher valuation during direct discussions.
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From Outsiders To Favourites In Days
The scale of this move is genuinely striking.
As recently as Tuesday, Barcelona were priced as long as 9/1 to sign Rodri, a distant outsider behind both Real Madrid and the option of him staying at City.
They've now surged all the way into favouritism at 1/6, one of the more dramatic swings seen in a single-player transfer market this summer, reflecting just how quickly this situation has escalated behind the scenes.
What the expert says...
Rodri Next Club Odds: The Full Breakdown
Virgin Bet have priced up the market following this morning's developments, with Barcelona now holding a commanding position.
| Next Club | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 1/6 | 85.7% |
| Real Madrid | 4/1 | 20.0% |
| Stay at Man City | 8/1 | 11.1% |
City Retain An Outside Chance Of Keeping Him
Despite the direction of travel, the option of Rodri staying at the Etihad remains live, priced at 8/1.
With no transfer yet completed and a fee still to be agreed, there remains a scenario in which City hold firm on their valuation and the move ultimately stalls, even with Rodri reportedly having given the move his personal blessing.
City fans will be hoping that the club hold out on a substantial fee for one of their key players, with a massive gap left to fill if he was to go.
Where To Bet On Rodri's Next Club
With this saga moving quickly and prices shifting by the hour, it's worth comparing odds across a wider range of betting sites before placing a bet.
Our guide to the best football betting sites is a great place to start for comparing the top operators for markets like this one.
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