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- CMAT has been backed into 5/4 favourite to win the 2025 Mercury Prize with William Hill.
- Sam Fender has drifted from Evens to 6/1 despite opening as favourite.
- Fontaines DC follow behind CMAT in the market at 5/2.
CMAT Moves to Favourite
The race for the 2025 Mercury Prize has taken a decisive turn as Irish star CMAT moves into outright favouritism at 5/4 with UK Betting Sites.
Her album Euro-Country has been well-received by critics and audiences alike, and punters have been quick to back her, shifting her price from 3/1 into clear favourite status.
CMAT is no stranger to critical acclaim but the latest market move underlines the momentum behind her Mercury Prize campaign.
Latest odds for the prestigious prize with William Hill suggest a 44.4% change of CMAT being crowned Mercury Prize winner for 2025.
Mercury Prize 2025 Winner Odds
| Artist & Album | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| CMAT – Euro-Country | 5/4 | 44.4% |
| Fontaines DC – Romance | 5/2 | 28.6% |
| Sam Fender – People Watching | 6/1 | 14.3% |
| Pulp – More | 8/1 | 11.1% |
| Emma-Jean Thackray – Weirdo | 8/1 | 11.1% |
| Jacob Alon – In Limerence | 8/1 | 11.1% |
Betting Insight
Early favourite Sam Fender opened at Evens when nominations were announced but support has cooled since drifting him out to 6/1.
Meanwhile, Fontaines DC represent the closest rivals to CMAT, with their album Romance trading at 5/2.
With both CMAT and Fontaines flying the flag for Ireland, the market hints at a possible Irish winner this year.
Pulp’s More and Emma-Jean Thackray’s Weirdo both sit at 8/1, suggesting an outside chance, while Jacob Alon’s In Limerence is also priced at 8/1 giving punters options if they fancy a longer shot.
What the expert says...
Full Mercury Prize 2025 Nominees
The Mercury Prize nominees are:
- CMAT – Euro-Country
- Emma-Jean Thackray – Weirdo
- FKA Twigs – Eusexua
- Fontaines DC – Romance
- Jacob Alon – In Limerence
- Joe Webb – Hamstrings And Hurricanes
- Martin Carthy – Transform Me Then Into A Fish
- Pa Salieu – Afrikan Alien
- PinkPantheress – Fancy That
- Pulp – More
- Sam Fender – People Watching
- Wolf Alice - The Clearing
Where To Bet on the Mercury Prize
Punters can find Mercury Prize markets at UK betting sites, with William Hill currently offering the odds shown above.
For wider entertainment specials, including Strictly, I’m A Celeb, and Oscars markets, see our guide to the best entertainment betting sites, where you’ll also find the latest free bets and offers.
