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- Manchester City are 1/3 to receive a fine over the 115 charges, with points deduction 6/4 as bookmakers price up potential outcomes.
- Points deduction priced at 6/4.
- No public decision announced more than three years on.
115 Charges: Betting Market Still Wide Open
Betting experts continue to offer markets on the outcome of Manchester City’s 115 Premier League charges, more than three years after they were initially brought in February 2023.
City strongly deny the charges and a hearing took place in front of an independent commission between September and December 2024.
Despite expectations of a decision in early 2025 no public outcome has yet been announced.
With uncertainty ongoing, betting experts have priced up possible sanctions.
Best Bookmakers for Football Promotions for 2026
Manchester City Charges Outcome Odds
| Outcome | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Fined | 1/3 | 75.0% |
| Points Deduction | 6/4 | 40.0% |
| Trophies Rescinded | 12/1 | 7.7% |
| Expelled from Premier League | 25/1 | 3.8% |
| Relegated This Season | 50/1 | 2.0% |
| Club Folds | 50/1 | 2.0% |
*As betting sites currently aren't taking bets on this event, odds have been compiled as theoretical probability from an entertainment perspective only and come from an industry expert
A fine at 1/3 is the clear favourite outcome, implying a 75% chance according to the latest odds.
Fine or Points Deduction?
The market suggests the experts view a financial penalty as the most likely resolution.
However, a points deduction at 6/4 remains firmly in play carrying a 40% implied probability.
Such a sanction would have significant competitive implications, potentially reshaping the Premier League landscape.
More severe punishments such as expulsion (25/1) or relegation this season (50/1) are priced as long shots.
Why the Delay Matters
The length of time since the charges were announced has added to speculation.
With:
- Charges issued February 2023
- Hearing held September–December 2024
- No decision publicly confirmed
The prolonged timeline has created a vacuum filled by market movement and fan debate.
What the expert says...
What are the charges?
• 54x Failure to provide accurate financial information 2009-10 to 2017-18.
• 14x Failure to provide accurate details for player and manager payments from 2009-10 to 2017-18.
• 5x Failure to comply with Uefa's rules including Financial Fair Play (FFP) 2013-14 to 2017-18.
• 7x Breaching Premier League's PSR rules 2015-16 to 2017-18.
• 35x Failure to co-operate with Premier League investigations December 2018 - Feb 2023.
