Jake is a Football and Entertainment betting expert, with a Man City season ticket and a deep knowledge of reality TV betting angles
- Ciaran Davies & Nicole Samuel are the new favourites in the betting odds to win this year's Love Island
- Joey Essex & Samantha Kenny had been favourites to win ever since they got together as a couple
- Essex remains favourite on his own though in the Top Male market
Ciaran Davies & Nicole Samuel are the new favourites in the betting odds to win this year's Love Island
This year's Love Island continues through it's second week this week and we're now seeing a different couple top the betting market to win the show this summer.
UK Betting Sites offer odds on who will be the winning couple this year and it's Ciaran Davies & Nicole Samuel who have now shortened into 4/1 favourites to win the show.
Ciaran and Nicole have gone from strength-to-strength in the past week with their relationship looking as solid as ever, with the Welshman saying on Thursday night that he wanted to be exclusive with his partner.
Those words instantly saw bookies slashed their odds to win the show with William Hill's latest market giving an implied probability of 20% that it's this couple who are crowned Love Island winners.
| Love Island Winning Couple | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Ciaran Davies & Nicole Samuel | 4/1 | 20.0% |
| Joey Essex & Samantha Kenny | 5/1 | 16.7% |
| Ayo Odukoya & Mimii Ngulube | 11/2 | 15.4% |
| Joey Essex & Grace Jackson | 8/1 | 11.1% |
| Ronnie Vint & Jessica White | 14/1 | 6.7% |
What the expert says..
Joey Essex & Samantha Kenny had been favourites to win ever since they got together as a couple
Former The Only Way Is Essex star Joey Essex entered the show after the first night as a bombshell and ever since he's been the favourite to win.
Essex and his partner Samantha Kenny led the winning couple market ever since they partnered together but now they've drifted into second favourites.
Samantha has shown how keen she is on Joey in the past week with references to TOWIE making her seem like a super fan of the celebrity and this may well see trouble in the villa down the line.
Love Island Betting Odds: TV Specials Betting Guide
Essex remains favourite on his own though in the Top Male market
Bookmakers do think that Essex will win the show in some capacity with the latest betting market still putting him as the clear favourite in the Top Male list.
The fact that Essex appears in two different couples in the winning couples odds list also shows that bookies expect him to be there or thereabouts.
Essex has a 40% chance of winning the show in some capacity according to the Top Male market which puts him as the clear favourite at 6/4.
| Love Island Top Male | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Essex | 6/4 | 40.0% |
| Ciaran Davies | 4/1 | 20.0% |
| Ayo Odukoya | 9/2 | 18.2% |
| Sean Stone | 7/1 | 12.5% |
| Ronnie Vint | 8/1 | 11.1% |
| Will Anderson | 8/1 | 11.1% |
| Omar Nyame | 12/1 | 7.7% |
