I break betting odds news as it happens, so you’re never left behind when the market moves or a top offer lands.
- Jasmine earns Star Baker for the fourth time and is now 1/1 favourite to win Bake Off 2025
- Iain eliminated in Episode 8 as the final four head into Pâtisserie Week
- Toby (5/2) and Aaron (4/1) lead the chasing pack ahead of the semi-final showdown
The heat in the Great British Bake Off tent is rising and it’s not just the ovens.
After another standout performance and a fourth Star Baker title, Jasmine has emerged as the clear frontrunner in the betting markets, now priced at evens to win the Bake Off 2025 crown.
Software engineer Iain became the latest baker to exit the competition in Episode 8, as the remaining four contestants prepare for Pâtisserie Week, often the most technical and visually demanding challenge of the entire series.
With just two episodes remaining, betting experts are giving odds on who will triumph and Jasmine’s consistent form has made her the one to beat.
Latest Odds – Great British Bake Off 2025 Winner
| Great British Bake Off 2025 Winner | Odds* | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Jasmine | 1/1 | 50.0% |
| Toby | 5/2 | 28.6% |
| Aaron | 4/1 | 20.0% |
| Tom | 6/1 | 14.3% |
*As betting sites currently aren't taking bets on this event, odds have been compiled as theoretical probability from an entertainment perspective only and come from an industry expert
Jasmine's confidence and precision have stood out since early in the series, but her latest Star Baker award this week has sent a clear signal to punters and fellow bakers.
Toby, priced at 5/2, has remained a strong contender throughout and is arguably Jasmine’s closest rival.
While he hasn’t claimed as many top titles, his consistency and technical strength mean he’s still in with a real shot.
Pâtisserie Week is traditionally one of the toughest challenges on Bake Off, requiring bakers to demonstrate finesse, precision and flair across multiple delicate desserts.
Historically, it’s been a week that in many series has given us a surprise exit.
With pressure mounting, don’t be surprised to see the odds shift again if Jasmine slips or if Toby or Aaron pull off a show-stopping statement bake.
Expert Insight
What the expert says...
Final Four Bakers
Let’s take a closer look at the four remaining contestants still in the running for the Bake Off crown:
| Name | Age | Hometown | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jasmine Mitchell | 23 | London | Medical student |
| Toby Littlewood | 29 | Warwickshire | Business development executive |
| Aaron Mountford-Myles | 38 | Stoke-on-Trent | Senior systems architect |
| Tom Arden | 31 | London | Creative entrepreneur |
