Game Awards Game Of The Year Odds: GTA VI Stands Out As 1/3 Runaway Favourite

Grand Theft Auto VI is a 1/3 favourite for Game of the Year at The Game Awards 2026 ahead of its 19 November launch, with Resident Evil Requiem 4/1 leading the chase.
Game Awards Game Of The Year Odds: GTA VI Stands Out As 1/3 Runaway Favourite
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  • Grand Theft Auto VI is a 1/3 favourite for The Game Awards 2026 Game of the Year
  • Resident Evil Requiem (4/1) and Crimson Desert (9/1) lead a competitive chasing pack
  • GTA VI launches 19 November, with marketing and pre-orders expected to ramp up over the summer

GTA VI Dominates Game Of The Year Market On UK Betting Sites

Bookmakers have made Grand Theft Auto VI a runaway 1/3 favourite to win Game of the Year at the 13th edition of The Game Awards this December. 

With pre-orders expected to open over the summer and the game still on track for its 19 November 2026 release, betting sites have effectively priced Rockstar's juggernaut as a 75% probability shot, an extraordinary position for an awards market more than six months out.

It's a price that tells its own story. The Game Awards Game of the Year has historically been a fiercely contested category, with everything from independent darlings to AAA blockbusters lifting the trophy in recent years. 

To see a single title installed at 1/3 this far ahead of the ceremony is a reflection of just how unprecedented GTA VI's launch is shaping up to be, with a release that hasn't been seen in 13 years, riding the back of one of the most-viewed trailers in entertainment history.

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The Game Awards Game Of The Year 2026 Odds

The Game Awards Game Of The Year 2026
OddsImplied Probability
Grand Theft Auto VI1/375.0%
Resident Evil Requiem4/120.0%
Crimson Desert9/110.0%
Marvel's Wolverine12/17.7%
Saros16/15.9%
Control Resonant25/13.8%
Fable33/12.9%

The Chasing Pack: Where The Value Might Sit

Resident Evil Requiem (4/1) is the most credible threat in the book. Capcom's horror franchise has been on a creative roll, and Game of the Year voters have historically rewarded the series. A 20% implied probability looks fair rather than generous.

Crimson Desert (9/1) is Pearl Abyss's long-gestating action-RPG, and after years of delays it finally has the kind of momentum that turns hype into trophies.

Marvel's Wolverine (12/1) carries one of the most powerful brand engines in entertainment, and Insomniac's track record with the Spider-Man series gives this pick a critical safety net the market may be underrating.

Saros (16/1) from Housemarque has the cult-classic profile that voters sometimes love.

Why GTA VI Is Priced So Short

Three factors are powering the favourite's price. 

First, the release date math: a 19 November launch lands inside the Game Awards eligibility window with weeks of post-release momentum still rolling. 

Second, the cultural footprint: no game in 2026 will dominate conversation the way GTA VI is set to, and Game Awards voting historically tracks cultural impact alongside critical reception. 

Third, the competition is thin at the top: the chasing pack is strong but lacks a clear "this is the one that beats Rockstar" candidate.

Where To Bet On The Game Awards 2026

Game of the Year markets aren't carried by every bookmaker, and prices can vary noticeably across the best entertainment betting sites

The leading UK betting sites tend to be quickest to price up these awards specials, and new customers can also use free bets and welcome offers to get involved.

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