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- Luther by Kendrick Lamar and SZA is favourite for both Song and Record of the Year at the 2026 Grammys.
- GNX is currently the 1/1 frontrunner for Album of the Year, with Mayhem and Debi Tirar Mas Fotos close behind.
- The 68th Grammy Awards will be held on February 1, 2026, at the Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles.
Kendrick Lamar and SZA Lead Markets As Nominations Announced
The nominations for the 68th Annual Grammy Awards have been announced and bookmakers have wasted no time pricing up who could walk away with music’s biggest prizes on February 1, 2026.
Taking place once again at Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles, the 2026 Grammys will honour the best music released between August 31, 2024, and August 30, 2025 and it’s Kendrick Lamar who leads the way with nine nominations, including multiple nods for his collaboration with SZA on the track Luther.
With full betting markets now live for the major categories, UK betting sites have installed Luther as the favourite for both Song of the Year and Record of the Year, with Kendrick also in the mix for Album of the Year as excitement builds ahead of February’s ceremony.
Grammy Awards 2026 Song of the Year Odds
| Grammy Awards 2026 Song of the Year | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Luther (Kendrick Lamar ft. SZA) | 4/5 | 55.6% |
| Abracadabra (Lady Gaga) | 7/2 | 22.2% |
| Golden (KPop Demon Hunters) | 6/1 | 14.3% |
| DtMF (Bad Bunny) | 17/2 | 10.5% |
| Wildflower (Billie Eilish) | 14/1 | 6.7% |
| Anxiety (Doechii) | 30/1 | 3.2% |
| Manchild (Sabrina Carpenter) | 30/1 | 3.2% |
| APT (Rose & Bruno Mars) | 30/1 | 3.2% |
Kendrick Lamar and SZA's emotionally powerful collaboration leads the market, reflecting both critical acclaim and commercial impact.
Grammy Awards 2026 Album of the Year Odds
| Grammy Awards 2026 Album of the Year | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| GNX | 1/1 | 50.0% |
| Mayhem | 2/1 | 33.3% |
| Debi Tirar Mas Fotos | 3/1 | 25.0% |
| Man's Best Friend | 6/1 | 14.3% |
| Chromakopia | 12/1 | 7.7% |
| Let God Sort Em Out | 14/1 | 6.7% |
| Mutt | 14/1 | 6.7% |
| Swag | 20/1 | 4.8% |
Grammy Awards 2026 Record of the Year Odds
| Grammy Awards 2026 Record of the Year | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Luther (Kendrick Lamar ft. SZA) | 4/6 | 60.0% |
| Abracadabra (Lady Gaga) | 13/5 | 27.8% |
| DtMF (Bad Bunny) | 10/3 | 23.1% |
| APT (Rose & Bruno Mars) | 17/2 | 10.5% |
| Anxiety (Doechii) | 30/1 | 3.2% |
| Manchild (Sabrina Carpenter) | 60/1 | 1.6% |
| The Subway (Chappell Roan) | 60/1 | 1.6% |
| Wildflower (Billie Eilish) | 60/1 | 1.6% |
This category often rewards sonic innovation and production quality, both of which are key strengths in Luther, explaining its edge here over Lady Gaga’s retro-leaning Abracadabra.
What the expert says...
Grammy Trends and Betting Strategy
The Grammys are known for the occasional upset, just ask Beyoncé fans, but this year’s markets suggest a fairly predictable narrative forming around Kendrick Lamar.
With nine nominations, he has the strongest critical momentum and pairing with SZA, one of the most decorated modern R&B voices, strengthens his chances across all categories.
However, Lady Gaga could be a value option in both Record and Song of the Year if voters swing more traditional.
Similarly, Bruno Mars' inclusion (with Rose) brings Grammy pedigree and could throw a late curveball in the Record race.
From a betting perspective, combining GNX (Album) and Luther (Record/Song) in a Grammy treble could be popular among punters looking to cover the favourites.
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Where To Bet on the Grammy Awards 2026
Markets for the Grammy Awards 2026 are now live across leading UK betting sites, offering odds on Song, Record, Album of the Year and more.
For music fans looking to back their favourite nominees, it’s worth checking out the free bets currently on offer across the best entertainment betting sites especially while the odds are still moving following the nomination announcements.
