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- Finland now 6/4 favourites to win Eurovision 2026 with ‘Liekinheitin’
- Bookmakers give the entry a 40% implied chance of victory
- France (9/2) and Denmark (11/2) sit closest challengers in the betting
Finland Installed as Eurovision 2026 Favourites
Bookmakers now have a new leader in the Eurovision 2026 winner market with Finland moving to the top of the odds following a surge in popularity.
Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen’s entry ‘Liekinheitin’ has taken over as favourite after gaining strong momentum over the past fortnight.
The Finnish duo secured their Eurovision place by winning Uuden Musiikin Kilpailu 2026 and bookmakers now rate them as the act to beat ahead of this year’s contest.
With the odds now sitting at 6/4 with bet365, Finland are given a 40% implied probability of winning the competition in Vienna.
Eurovision 2026 Winner Odds
| Eurovision 2026 Winner | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Finland | 6/4 | 40.0% |
| France | 9/2 | 18.2% |
| Denmark | 11/2 | 15.4% |
| Greece | 9/1 | 10.0% |
| Australia | 14/1 | 6.7% |
| Israel | 16/1 | 5.9% |
| United Kingdom | 66/1 | 1.5% |
Finland’s move to the top of the market marks a significant shift with the country now clearly ahead of the chasing pack.
France sits second favourite at 9/2, while Denmark follows closely at 11/2, suggesting bookmakers see a small group of leading contenders emerging.
‘Liekinheitin’ Gaining Momentum Ahead of Contest
Finland’s rise in the betting market comes after increasing buzz around ‘Liekinheitin’, which has quickly become one of the most talked-about entries.
Winning UMK 2026 provided the duo with a strong platform and early fan reaction has translated into betting support.
Eurovision markets are often heavily influenced by fan engagement, streaming numbers and early performances, all of which appear to be working in Finland’s favour.
The combination of a strong national selection win and growing international appeal has helped push Finland into clear favouritism.
What the expert says...
Vienna Set to Host Historic 70th Eurovision
Eurovision Song Contest 2026 will take place in Vienna, Austria, marking the 70th edition of the iconic competition.
The event will be held at the Wiener Stadthalle, with semi-finals scheduled for 12 and 14 May, followed by the grand final on 16 May.
Austria hosts the contest for the third time, having previously staged Eurovision in 1967 and 2015 following its earlier victories.
The 2026 edition will be presented by Victoria Swarovski and Michael Ostrowski, with expectations high for a landmark anniversary show.
UK Among Outsiders in Early Market
The United Kingdom currently sits at 66/1 in the betting market, suggesting bookies do not expect a strong challenge at this stage.
Eurovision odds can shift dramatically once all entries are confirmed and rehearsals begin, meaning early prices often change significantly closer to the live shows.
LOOK MUM NO COMPUTER will perform for the UK with his song Eins, Zwei, Drei.
Where To Bet on Eurovision 2026
Fans looking to bet on Eurovision can find markets across leading UK betting sites, with bet365 currently offering odds on the winner market.
As the contest approaches, bookmakers typically expand their markets to include semi-final qualifiers, top 10 finishes and special bets.
Comparing odds across the best entertainment betting sites can also help bettors find the best prices, alongside promotions and free bets.
