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- Finland leads Eurovision 2026 betting at 6/4 (40% implied chance)
- France and Denmark among closest challengers in early market
- UK priced at 80/1 as struggles continue in betting markets
Finland Dominates Early Eurovision Betting Market
Momentum is firmly behind Finland in the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 betting, with the Nordic nation emerging as a standout favourite ahead of May’s event in Vienna.
Set to take place as the 70th edition of the contest, Eurovision is already attracting strong interest across bookmakers, with Finland’s entry “Liekinheitin” by Lampenius & Parkkonen leading the way at 6/4.
That price implies roughly a 40% chance of victory, a significant margin at this stage, and reflects how strongly bettors rate the Finnish entry as a complete package.
With rehearsals and live performances still to come, early momentum like this often plays a key role in shaping the market narrative.
Bet365's latest market puts Finland clear of the rest of the pack.
Eurovision 2026 Winner Odds
| Country | Artist & Song | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finland | Lampenius & Parkkonen – Liekinheitin | 6/4 | 40.0% |
| France | Monroe – Regarde ! | 5/1 | 16.7% |
| Denmark | S. Torpegaard – Før vi går hjem | 6/1 | 14.3% |
| Australia | Delta Goodrem – Eclipse | 8/1 | 11.1% |
| Greece | Akylas – Ferto | 9/1 | 10.0% |
| Israel | Noam Bettan – Michelle | 12/1 | 7.7% |
| Sweden | Felicia – My System | 18/1 | 5.3% |
| Romania | A. Căpitănescu – Choke Me | 22/1 | 4.3% |
| Ukraine | Leléka – Ridnym | 28/1 | 3.4% |
| Italy | Sal Da Vinci – Per sempre sì | 28/1 | 3.4% |
Finland Entry Sets the Standard
Finland’s dominance in the market suggests a rare level of confidence from bettors this early in the Eurovision cycle.
“Liekinheitin” has quickly gained traction thanks to its strong production, memorable staging potential and broad appeal, all key ingredients for Eurovision success.
Historically, early favourites don’t always convert, but when a song builds momentum this quickly, it often remains a major contender throughout the competition.
Strong International Field Taking Shape
Beyond the frontrunners, the market reflects a typically diverse Eurovision field.
Australia’s Delta Goodrem (8/1) brings global recognition and experience, while Greece (9/1) and Israel (12/1) continue to attract steady support.
Sweden, a Eurovision powerhouse, sits at 18/1, which could represent value given their consistent track record in the competition.
Further down, countries like Ukraine and Italy (both 28/1) remain capable of late surges, particularly once live performances begin to influence public perception.
What the expert says...
UK Struggles Continue in the Market
At the other end of the betting, the United Kingdom finds itself priced at 80/1, implying just a 1.23% chance of victory.
Despite recent efforts to improve results and invest more heavily in entries, the UK continues to struggle for backing among bettors.
This reflects ongoing challenges in competing with countries that consistently deliver standout performances and strong televote appeal.
While surprises are always possible, the current odds suggest another difficult year for the UK on the Eurovision stage.
