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- Eurovision 2025 Semi Final 2 takes place tonight, Thursday 15 May, live from Basel.
- Israel are 4/6 favourites to win the semi-final, followed by Finland (11/5) and Austria (5/1).
- The Grand Final takes place Saturday 17 May, with Sweden still leading the overall market.
Israel Favourite to Win Semi Final 2 in Basel
As the second live semi-final of Eurovision Song Contest 2025 hits screens tonight, the betting market at bet365 has installed Israel as the 4/6 favourite to top the heat ahead of Finland (11/5) and Austria (5/1).
With ten countries set to qualify from the sixteen taking part tonight, the semi-final remains wide open for upsets but Israel’s blend of performance power and diaspora voting support gives them the clear edge heading into the evening.
The latest betting market from UK Betting Sites gives an implied probability of 60% that Israel win tonight's Semi.
Austria are also taking part this evening and are second favourites in the market to win the overall event this weekend.
| Eurovision Song Contest Semi Final 2 Winner | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Israel | 4/6 | 60.0% |
| Finland | 11/5 | 31.3% |
| Austria | 5/1 | 16.7% |
| Malta | 33/1 | 2.9% |
| Czechia | 50/1 | 2.0% |
What the expert says...
Semi Final 2: Who Else Could Qualify?
While Israel remain the likely winners, Finland’s theatrical staging and strong televote history keep them firmly in contention.
Austria, currently second in the outright winner market, could see tonight as a critical springboard toward Grand Final success.
Expect countries like Malta and Czechia, priced at long odds, to be fighting hard for one of the final qualification spots.
Eurovision Song Contest Betting: Predictions, Tips and Insights for the 2026 Show in Austria
Eurovision 2025 Winner Odds
| Eurovision 2025 Winner | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Sweden | 11/10 | 47.6% |
| Austria | 9/4 | 30.8% |
| Netherlands | 9/1 | 10.0% |
| France | 12/1 | 7.7% |
| Israel | 16/1 | 5.9% |
With Sweden and Austria still leading the Grand Final market, Israel’s performance tonight will be crucial in determining whether they can move from longshot to serious contender for Saturday’s crown.
Where to Bet on Eurovision 2025
Markets for tonight’s semi-final and Saturday’s Grand Final are available now at top UK Betting Sites, with bet365 offering competitive Eurovision odds on semi-final winners, Top 5, and country head-to-heads.
For more TV and music specials, don’t forget to explore the latest free bets and OLBG’s best entertainment betting sites guide.
