Jake is a Football and Entertainment betting expert, with a Man City season ticket and a deep knowledge of reality TV betting angles
- Sweden are 5/6 favourites to win Eurovision 2025, according to bet365.
- Austria (11/4) and France (7/1) are the main challengers heading into Saturday night’s Grand Final.
- The UK are 100/1 outsiders, with girl group Remember Monday flying the flag in Basel.
Eurovision 2025 Final: Sweden Still the Ones to Beat
With both semi-finals now complete and the final 26 countries confirmed, anticipation is building for the Eurovision Song Contest 2025 Grand Final, live this Saturday 17 May from Basel, Switzerland.
Sweden remain the firm favourites in the outright betting, currently priced at 5/6 with bet365.
The Scandinavian powerhouse, a seven-time winner, has been the market leader for months and continues to attract heavy backing ahead of the live show at St Jakobshalle.
UK Betting Sites currently give an implied probability of 54.5% that Sweden are crowned winners of the Song Contest on Saturday evening.
| Eurovision Song Contest 2025 Winner | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Sweden | 5/6 | 54.5% |
| Austria | 11/4 | 26.7% |
| France | 7/1 | 12.5% |
| Netherlands | 14/1 | 6.7% |
| Finland | 16/1 | 5.9% |
| Israel | 22/1 | 4.3% |
| United Kingdom | 100/1 | 1.0% |
What the expert says...
Can Austria or France Upset the Favourite?
While Sweden continue to dominate the market, Austria’s slick staging and pop appeal has seen them solidify second place at 11/4, with plenty of fan and jury buzz behind their semi-final performance.
France, always a wildcard in the Eurovision mix, sit third in the market at 7/1 and with a stirring, cinematic ballad and strong vocal execution from Louane, they remain a live contender to break through.
UK Long Shot: Remember Monday Face Uphill Battle
The United Kingdom, represented by Remember Monday, are priced as 100/1 outsiders, with bookmakers giving them a slim 1% chance of victory.
Despite a well-received live vocal in the semi-finals, the country continues to struggle for traction with both juries and televoters.
Unless a shock wave of support materialises the UK looks set to be a finalist without much threat to the podium.
Entertainment Betting Sites: Best Bookmakers Compared on Reality TV, Entertainment and Novelty Bets
Where to Bet on Eurovision 2025
All Eurovision markets, including winner, Top 5, and head-to-heads, are available now at leading UK betting sites.
Bet365 offer a wide range of options ahead of Saturday’s Grand Final.
Don’t miss out on free bets, and visit our best entertainment betting sites guide for more coverage of Eurovision, Strictly, and other pop culture favourites.
