Chess Candidates Tournament 2026 Odds: Caruana Leads Candidates Betting as Race Begins to Face World Champion Gukesh

Fabiano Caruana is 2/1 favourite to win the 2026 Candidates Tournament, with Hikaru Nakamura and Javokhir Sindarov close behind in a stacked field.
Chess Candidates Tournament 2026 Odds: Caruana Leads Candidates Betting as Race Begins to Face World Champion Gukesh
Steve Madgwick
Steve Madgwick Editor-In-Chief

I've spent over 20 years inside the betting industry. I'll guide you to avoid the hype, ignore the noise, and steer clear of the common pitfalls that catch out everyday punters.

  • Fabiano Caruana heads the market at 2/1 favourite
  • Nakamura and Sindarov sit close behind at 7/2
  • Winner earns shot at World Champion Gukesh later in 2026

Candidates Tournament Set to Decide World Championship Challenger

The road to the 2026 World Chess Championship gets underway this week as eight of the world’s top grandmasters gather in Cyprus for the prestigious Candidates Tournament.

Taking place from 28 March to 16 April at the Cap St Georges Hotel and Resort in Pegeia, the event will determine who earns the right to challenge reigning champion Gukesh Dommaraju later this year.

With such high stakes, bookmakers have already priced up the outright market, and all signs are pointing towards a familiar name at the top.

Bet365's latest market makes Fabiano Caruana the 2/1 favourite to be crowned Candidates Tournament champion.

2026 Candidates Tournament Winner Odds

2026 Candidates Tournament Winner
OddsImplied Probability
Fabiano Caruana2/133.33%
Hikaru Nakamura7/222.22%
Javokhir Sindarov7/222.22%
R Praggnanandhaa13/213.33%
Yi Wei9/110.00%
Anish Giri12/17.69%
Andrey Esipenko20/14.76%
Matthias Blübaum28/13.45%

Caruana Installed as Early Favourite

Fabiano Caruana’s position at the top of the betting reflects both his experience and consistent performances at the highest level.

A former World Championship challenger, Caruana brings a proven track record in elite tournaments, something that often proves decisive in the gruelling Candidates format.

His ability to maintain consistency across multiple rounds makes him a logical frontrunner.

What the expert says...
Caruana’s experience in these high-pressure tournaments is a huge factor. At 2/1, he’s the standout on paper, but this is one of the deepest Candidates fields we’ve seen in years.

Steve Madgwick - Chess Betting Expert - OLBG.com

Nakamura and Sindarov Lead the Chasing Pack

Just behind Caruana, Hikaru Nakamura and rising star Javokhir Sindarov are both priced at 7/2, highlighting the strength of competition.

Nakamura’s rapid and classical pedigree, combined with his vast experience, makes him a constant threat. 

Meanwhile, Sindarov represents the new generation, with bookmakers clearly respecting his potential to break through on the biggest stage.

Praggnanandhaa at 13/2 adds further depth, continuing the trend of young challengers pushing established names.

Where To Bet on Chess and Novelty Markets

For those interested in betting on chess events and other specialist markets, many platforms offer odds on major tournaments.

You can compare prices and access the latest free bets across leading betting sites, helping you find value throughout the tournament.

For more options covering niche and entertainment markets, visit the best chess betting sites page.

As always, odds can fluctuate as the tournament progresses.

Best Chess Betting Sites
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