Champions League Round of 16 Betting Preview: Arsenal Lead Outright Market Ahead of Huge Week

The Champions League Round of 16 begins this week with blockbuster ties including Real Madrid vs Man City and PSG vs Chelsea as bookmakers reveal the latest match odds and tournament favourites.
Champions League Round of 16 Betting Preview: Arsenal Lead Outright Market Ahead of Huge Week

Vyacheslav Evdokimov, CC BY-SA 3.0 GFDL, via Wikimedia Commons

Jake Ashton
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  • Arsenal head the Champions League outright betting market at 5/2 ahead of the Round of 16.
  • Real Madrid vs Manchester City headlines eight huge knockout ties this week.
  • Liverpool, Bayern Munich and Barcelona all feature among the leading contenders.

Champions League Knockout Stage Begins This Week

The Champions League returns this week with the Round of 16 first legs and UK betting sites have released markets for all eight matches taking place across Tuesday and Wednesday.

Europe’s elite clubs now enter the knockout stage with the road to the final beginning to take shape. 

Several heavyweight clashes headline the schedule, including Real Madrid vs Manchester City and Paris Saint-Germain vs Chelsea, while Liverpool travel to Istanbul to face Galatasaray.

Alongside the individual match betting markets, bet365 are also offering updated outright odds on who will lift the famous trophy at the end of the campaign.

With Arsenal currently leading the market and several high-profile clubs still in contention, this week’s results could play a major role in shaping the betting landscape.

Tuesday’s Champions League Matches and Odds

The opening night of Round of 16 action features four intriguing encounters across Europe.

MatchHomeDrawAway
Galatasaray vs Liverpool16/53/13/4
Atalanta vs Bayern Munich4/17/23/5
Atlético Madrid vs Tottenham8/1516/55/1
Newcastle vs Barcelona19/1029/106/5

Liverpool are strong 3/4 favourites to secure a first-leg advantage away to Galatasaray in Istanbul, while Bayern Munich are also expected to take control of their tie against Atalanta at 3/5.

Perhaps the most intriguing match of the night takes place at St James’ Park, where Newcastle host Barcelona. 

The odds suggest a tight contest with the Spanish giants slight favourites at 6/5, while Newcastle sit at 19/10 on home soil.

Wednesday’s Fixtures Feature Real Madrid vs Man City

Wednesday’s action includes one of the most anticipated ties of the entire round as Real Madrid host Manchester City at the Santiago Bernabéu.

MatchHomeDrawAway
Bayer Leverkusen vs Arsenal9/216/54/7
Bodø/Glimt vs Sporting CP8/55/28/5
PSG vs Chelsea17/2014/529/10
Real Madrid vs Manchester City5/211/41/1

Arsenal enter their tie against Bayer Leverkusen as strong 4/7 favourites, reflecting the impressive form that has also seen them installed as favourites in the outright market.

PSG are priced at 17/20 to defeat Chelsea in Paris, while the most evenly matched contest appears to be Bodø/Glimt vs Sporting CP, with both sides priced at 8/5.

Latest Champions League Outright Odds

Bet365 have also released updated prices on which team will go on to win the 2026 Champions League.

Champions League Winner 2025/26OddsImplied Probability
Arsenal5/228.6%
Bayern Munich11/215.4%
Barcelona6/114.3%
Manchester City8/111.1%
PSG10/19.1%
Liverpool10/19.1%
Real Madrid12/17.7%
Atletico Madrid20/14.8%
Chelsea25/13.8%

Arsenal’s 5/2 price makes them the clear tournament favourites according to the latest market, with Bayern Munich and Barcelona next in the betting.

Manchester City sit at 8/1, while PSG and Liverpool are both priced at 10/1.

Real Madrid’s experience in the competition keeps them firmly in contention at 12/1, even with a difficult tie against City looming.

Where To Bet on the Champions League

For fans looking to back their selections this week, leading betting sites and bookmakers are offering extensive markets on every Champions League match.

Punters can also find promotions and free bets around the knockout rounds, particularly as interest increases during the latter stages of the tournament.

One notable promotion currently available from bet365 is the 2 Goals Ahead Early Payout Offer.

With this promotion, if the team you back to win goes two goals ahead at any point during the match, your bet is settled as a winner regardless of the final result.

The offer applies to single bets on the full-time result market and can also apply to selections within multiples and Bet Builder bets.

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