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- Molly-Mae Hague 2/1 favourite to win Celebrity Bake Off 2026.
- Jon Richardson and Aston Merrygold close behind in betting.
- New guest judge Cherish Finden joins Paul Hollywood.
Celebrity Bake Off Betting Opens for 2026
Betting experts have priced up the Celebrity Bake Off 2026 Winner market as Channel 4 confirms the return of The Great Celebrity Bake Off for Stand Up To Cancer this spring.
With a fresh batch of famous faces stepping into the famous white tent and a new guest judge joining Paul Hollywood, anticipation is already building ahead of the Signature, Technical and Showstopper challenges.
Joining Paul at the judging table this year is Cherish Finden, Bake Off: The Professionals judge and internationally renowned pastry chef, known for her technical precision and exacting standards.
With Alison Hammond and Noel Fielding returning to host, the ingredients are in place for another competitive celebrity series and the betting suggests one clear frontrunner.
Celebrity Bake Off 2026 Winner Odds
| Celebrity Bake Off 2026 Winner | Odds* | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Molly-Mae Hague | 2/1 | 33.3% |
| Jon Richardson | 3/1 | 25.0% |
| Aston Merrygold | 4/1 | 20.0% |
| Edith Bowman | 4/1 | 20.0% |
| Rose Ayling-Ellis | 5/1 | 16.7% |
| JoJo Siwa | 6/1 | 14.3% |
| Ambika Mod | 6/1 | 14.3% |
| Tom Davis | 7/1 | 12.5% |
| Mark Wright | 7/1 | 12.5% |
*As betting sites currently aren't taking bets on this event, odds have been compiled as theoretical probability from an entertainment perspective only and come from an industry expert
Molly-Mae Heads the Market
Reality TV personality and entrepreneur Molly-Mae Hague is installed as 2/1 favourite, implying a 33.3% probability of being crowned Star Baker.
Her competitive streak and strong social media following make her a standout name in the cast list and betting experts clearly expect her to impress in the tent.
Given her brand partnerships and lifestyle focus, there is speculation she may have more culinary ability than some expect which is something that could justify her short price.
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Jon Richardson a Strong Contender
Comedian Jon Richardson sits second favourite at 3/1 (25.0%).
Richardson’s meticulous personality and methodical approach could translate well to the structured demands of Bake Off’s technical challenges.
In celebrity formats, contestants who show organisation and attention to detail often perform strongly under judging scrutiny.
Aston Merrygold (4/1) and Edith Bowman (4/1) share third spot in the market, both carrying implied probabilities of 20%.
What the expert says...
Strong Supporting Cast Adds Depth
The wider field includes:
- Rose Ayling-Ellis (5/1)
- JoJo Siwa (6/1)
- Ambika Mod (6/1)
- Tom Davis (7/1)
- Mark Wright (7/1)
With such a diverse mix of comedians, broadcasters, musicians and reality stars, the market remains open enough for surprises.
Other confirmed contestants include:
Scott Mills, Mutya Buena, Rag’n’Bone Man, Roisin Conaty, Emmett J. Scanlan, Vicky Pattison, Sam Thompson, Alex Brooker, Nella Rose, Rose Matafeo and Richard Herring among others making this one of the most varied celebrity casts yet.
