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- Kimi Antonelli arrives in Montreal as the 7/4 bet365 favourite for Sunday's Canadian Grand Prix after winning the last three consecutive races
- The 2026 Canadian GP is a Sprint weekend at Circuit Gilles-Villeneuve from May 22-24, with the Sprint Race on Saturday and the Grand Prix on Sunday
- George Russell, Antonelli's Mercedes team-mate and closest title rival, 20 points adrift in second, won this race in 2025 from pole position and is the 9/4 second favourite
Montreal Belongs to Mercedes But Can Anyone Stop Antonelli?
Formula One arrives in Montreal this weekend for one of the most eagerly anticipated rounds of the 2026 season, and the betting market has a very clear view of who will be celebrating come Sunday evening.
Bet365 have Kimi Antonelli as the 7/4 favourite to win both the Sprint and the Canadian Grand Prix at Circuit Gilles-Villeneuve, in a Sprint weekend that runs from May 22 to 24.
For those looking to get involved in the F1 markets, the top motorsport betting sites have the full range of Canadian GP outright, Sprint and specials odds available.
Last year, George Russell won the race from pole position, with Max Verstappen second and Antonelli himself finishing third.
Antonelli: Three Wins, Three Poles, and a Championship Lead That Keeps Growing
The statistics that surround Kimi Antonelli's 2026 season are extraordinary for a 19-year-old in only his second year of Formula One. Three consecutive race wins. Three consecutive pole positions. A 20-point championship lead over his far more experienced Mercedes team-mate George Russell. Four podiums from the season's opening five rounds.
The numbers are historic. No teenager in Formula One history has won three consecutive Grands Prix. Antonelli is not just delivering; he is rewriting what is considered possible at his age.
His Miami performance was the most recent demonstration of what makes him so difficult to beat.
2026 Canadian Grand Prix Winner Odds
| 2026 Canadian Grand Prix Winner | Team | Championship Position | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kimi Antonelli | Mercedes | 1st (100pts) | 7/4 | 36.4% |
| George Russell | Mercedes | 2nd (80pts) | 9/4 | 30.8% |
| Lando Norris | McLaren | 4th (51pts) | 4/1 | 20.0% |
| Max Verstappen | Red Bull | 7th (26pts) | 8/1 | 11.1% |
| Oscar Piastri | McLaren | 6th (43pts) | 9/1 | 10.0% |
| Charles Leclerc | Ferrari | 3rd (59pts) | 16/1 | 5.9% |
| Lewis Hamilton | Ferrari | 5th (51pts) | 20/1 | 4.8% |
Russell's Title Fight, Norris's Upgrades and Hamilton's Return to Canada
George Russell at 9/4 for the Grand Prix, and slightly shorter than Antonelli for the Sprint at 2/1, reflects the Mercedes team-mate's own formidable credentials at this circuit.
Russell won the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix from pole position and knows the Circuit Gilles-Villeneuve intimately.
The Briton is the only driver on the grid who has beaten Antonelli in a race this season, having taken victory at the season opener, and the title gap of 20 points is not insurmountable with a significant portion of the calendar still to run.
A Russell win this weekend would close the championship to a margin that keeps the fight genuinely alive, and at 9/4, the market rates his chances as almost as strong as his prodigiously talented team-mate.
Lando Norris at 4/1 is the representative of a McLaren resurgence that gathered genuine momentum in Miami.
Where To Bet on the Canadian Grand Prix 2026
With Sprint Qualifying on Friday afternoon, the Sprint Race on Saturday and the Grand Prix on Sunday May 24, the full range of Canadian GP markets are available now.
Bet365 are one of the most trusted betting sites for Formula One markets, with competitive odds across the Grand Prix winner, Sprint winner, pole position, fastest lap and a wide range of specials.
For a full comparison of the best F1 betting odds and markets, visit our guide to the top motorsport betting sites.
