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- Latest odds are 11/2 that the room-temperature superconductor is validated at some point in 2023
- The odds are as short as 1/5 that LK-99 isn't successfully replicated this year
- Have we seen room-temperature superconductor claims before?
Latest odds are 11/2 that the room-temperature superconductor is validated at some point in 2023
Mid-July saw South Korean researchers publish a paper that they have created the first room-temperature superconductor in a massive step in science.
The findings though are still uncertain with researchers and scientists worldwide trying to recreate the findings to verify LK-99 (which is the name given to the material).
This has caused UK Betting Sites to start to offer odds on whether or not LK-99 will be validated with scepticism around it being confirmed by researchers.
Smarkets say there's just a 15% chance of it being confirmed in 2023 with TIME magazine adding that experts are sceptical about LK-99 working as it should.
| Will the results of 'The First Room-Temperature Ambient-Pressure Superconductor' be successfully replicated more than once in 2023?
|
Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 11/2 | 15.4% |
| No | 1/5 | 83.3% |
What the expert says...
The odds are as short as 1/5 that LK-99 isn't successfully replicated this year
Replication efforts for LK-99 have fallen short so far with the original claims from the South Korean team going viral causing numerous attempts to do the same.
Reports from Nature.com earlier this month say that "initial efforts to experimentally and theoretically reproduce the buzzworthy result have come up short".
Sukbae Lee and Ji-Hoon Kim's team in South Korea reported their initial LK-99 findings on July 25 and nearly a month on we're no closer to proving that to be true.
Such efforts have now seen bookmakers quote an 83% probability that their results are NOT successfully replicated in 2023.
Have we seen room-temperature superconductor claims before?
This is not the first time where we've seen claims of a room-temperature superconductor with just three years ago a team of researchers in America claiming they had found one.
Researchers from the University of Rochester had claimed in 2020 that they had found a new room-temperature superconductor from hydrogen, sulfur and carbon.
This was rubbished due to data issues but this March has seen them once again claim that had a room-temperature superconductor this time from nitrogen, hydrogen and metal lutetium.
