Ballon d’Or 2025 Odds: Raphinha now EVENS for Ballon d'Or with Kylian Mbappe drifting out of the top five!

Barcelona’s Raphinha has shortened to even money in the 2025 Ballon d'Or betting, with teammate Lamine Yamal close behind and Mbappé drifting following Real Madrid’s Champions League exit.
Ballon d’Or 2025 Odds: Raphinha now EVENS for Ballon d'Or with Kylian Mbappe drifting out of the top five!
Jake Ashton
Jake Ashton Senior News Editor

Jake is a Football and Entertainment betting expert, with a Man City season ticket and a deep knowledge of reality TV betting angles

  • Raphinha is now the 1/1 favourite to win the 2025 Ballon d'Or after Barcelona’s UCL progress
  • Kylian Mbappé drifts to 14/1 as Real Madrid exit prompts market reaction
  • Lamine Yamal and Mo Salah remain joint second-favourites at 5/1

Raphinha now evens to win the 2025 Ballon d'Or

Barcelona’s Raphinha is now 1/1 favourite with UK betting sites to win the 2025 Ballon d’Or after his side sailed through in the Champions League, with bookmakers reacting swiftly to recent knockout action.

The Brazilian winger has leapfrogged competition following a string of stellar performances that helped Barcelona progress further in Europe’s elite competition. 

That momentum has seen punters pile in, prompting Bet365 to slash his price from 2/1 to even money in the past month.

Betting odds for the award now gives an implied probability of 50% that Raphinha will win the Ballon d'Or later this year.

2025 Ballon d'Or Winner
OddsProbability
Raphinha
1/150.0%
Lamine Yamal5/116.7%
Mohamed Salah5/116.7%
Ousmane Dembele
5/116.7%
Robert Lewandowski7/112.5%
What the expert says...
Raphinha is now given a 50% chance of winning the Ballon d'Or with his Barcelona side reaching the semi-final stage of the Champions League this season!

Jake Ashton - Football Betting Expert - OLBG.com

Yamal, Salah and Dembele joint second favourites

The biggest mover besides Raphinha is Lamine Yamal with the winger sharing second-favourite status at 5/1, alongside Mo Salah and Ousmane Dembele. 

Salah’s odds remain static after Liverpool’s own Champions League exit but his goalscoring numbers this season keep him firmly in the conversation.

Another notable mention is Robert Lewandowski, currently 7/1, who may require both individual and club success to close the gap on his teammate.

It’s worth noting that voting trends for the Ballon d’Or heavily favour Champions League finalists and international performers, but a big Club World Cup showing this summer could change things.

Ballon d'Or Betting Odds and History Of Winners
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Ballon d'Or Betting Odds and History Of Winners

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