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Win Match
Selection | Win Tips | % | |
---|---|---|---|
Casper Ruud | 10 / 17 | 59% | |
Daniil Medvedev | 7 / 17 | 41% |
Win Match
WIN @
These two players are performing well during this clay season. They can be inconsistent in their form, but Medvedev has never lost a set to Ruud in three previous matches. Ruud does tend to perform poorly against the higher ranked players and to see Medvedev as the underdog is far too tempting.
+341 profit on Tennis in the last 3 months
WIN @
Casper Ruud looks like a sure winner here. The Norwegian player has been in tremendous form on clay court. Daniil Medvedev is completely out of form.
WIN @
These two players are performing well during this clay season. They can be inconsistent in their form, but Medvedev has never lost a set to Ruud in three previous matches. Ruud does tend to perform poorly against the higher ranked players and to see Medvedev as the underdog is far too tempting.
WIN @ / 2.50 hcap
It's quick here in Madrid (650m+ altitude), which gives Medvedev a good chance. Let's not forget that Medvedev is a M1000 winner on clay (Rome) - the best win for Ruud (ranked 15) on any surface is 1 ATP 500 title. Their H2H (though several years old) favours Medvedev, 3-0 over Ruud, with a service/return points won total lead of 116 to 84 across the 3 matches. The 29yo Russian's first serve has excelled in this matchup. He's won 88% of first serve points and held 93% of the time, whilst the 26yo Norwegian has only won 24% of return points and held serve just 66% of the time. Stats for this season show Medvedev has played the better tennis: service/return points won total in 2023 at main level of 107, Ruud on 103. The other interesting factor here is performance level against the best players in the world - Medvedev leads the way as against the current top-10 on all surfaces Ruud has a 27% win rate and service/return points won total of 92, Medvedev has a 55% win rate and a 101 total. So, for me, there’s enough doubt about Ruud in matches against 'top' players.
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