8:30 Newcastle Tips
Summary of Tipster comments
The top selection for betting is Hundred Caps, showing a solid performance with a third of its recent races won. Bright and Abduction follow, with Abduction highlighted as a strong contender after a recent victory over 7 furlongs, beating Benacre. Tipsters suggest that Abduction could excel again, especially with Benacre's performance potentially enhancing its prospects. Given these insights, the recommendation is to back Abduction for a win in the upcoming race, as the tipsters express confidence in its chances following its recent success.
Most Popular Tip
Hundred Caps
Daily Racing
| Selection | Win Tips | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| • | Hundred Caps | 10 / 30 | 34% |
| • | Bright | 6 / 30 | 20% |
| • | Abduction | 4 / 30 | 13% |
| • | Other | 10 / 30 | 33% |
Best Tipster’s Tip
Abduction
Daily Racing
Won on Fools Rush In @17.00 Yesterday
WIN @
Won over 7 furlongs here 6 days ago and could follow up dropping in trip. Beat Benacre by half a length in that recent race and it will be interesting to see how that horse fares in the race before this with a strong performance boosting Abduction's hopes.
- Annual Profit
- 1160
- Annual Strike Rate
- 17 %
- 30 Days Profit
- 487
- 7 Days Profit
- 256
-
Daily Racing
Hide Selections
12 Abduction
- Form: 860-61
- 8yo 9st 4lb (8)
- T: Jim Goldie
- J: Kaiya Fraser
4 / 30 Win Tips13%2 experts
3 comments1 / 27 EW Tips4%1 / 7 NAPs14%Won on Fools Rush In @17.00 Yesterday
WIN @
Won over 7 furlongs here 6 days ago and could follow up dropping in trip. Beat Benacre by half a length in that recent race and it will be interesting to see how that horse fares in the race before this with a strong performance boosting Abduction's hopes.
- Annual Profit
- 1160
- Annual Strike Rate
- 17 %
- 30 Days Profit
- 487
- 7 Days Profit
- 256
8 Hundred Caps
- Form: 4212-1
- 4yo 9st 5lb (7)
- T: Julie Camacho
- J: Jason Hart
10 / 30 Win Tips33%3 comments6 / 27 EW Tips22%3 / 7 NAPs43%+1584 profit on Horse Racing in the last year
WIN @
Returned from a break to gain a 3rd career win and first from 4 starts on the all-weather when winning at Southwell last month. Up 5 lbs but still improving and holds every chance of following up.
- Annual Profit
- 1584
- Annual Strike Rate
- 33 %
- 30 Days Profit
- 295
- 7 Days Profit
- 120
1 Bright
- Form: 50661-
- 6yo 9st 7lb (4)
- T: Mark Loughnane
- J: Luke Morris
6 / 30 Win Tips20%1 comment5 / 27 EW Tips19%1 / 7 NAPs14%Won on Word Of Mouth @15.00 on Tuesday
WIN @
Bright has won 2 and placed in 1 of 6 runs at course and distance, has won 3 and placed in 2 of 15 runs in this class and has placed in 1 of 6 runs at or above this mark. Returned to form in victory here last time out. 4lb up from that and effective over this distance. Still well treated based on last effort.
- Annual Profit
- 7
- Annual Strike Rate
- 23 %
- 30 Days Profit
- -1
- 7 Days Profit
- 33
7 Sergeant Pep
- Form: 5026-2
- 6yo 9st 5lb (10)
- T: Clive Cox
- J: Hector Crouch
1 / 30 Win Tips3%3 / 27 EW Tips11%0 / 7 NAPs0%
4 Trouble Man
- Form: 17575-
- 4yo 9st 6lb (2)
- T: Oli Rix
- J: Tom Marquand
1 / 30 Win Tips3%0 / 27 EW Tips0%0 / 7 NAPs0%
6 Shallow
- Form: 9486-2
- 5yo 9st 5lb (3)
- T: Richard Spencer
- J: Robert Havlin
2 / 30 Win Tips7%2 experts
2 comments3 / 27 EW Tips11%2 / 7 NAPs29%Won on I Can Boogy @17.00 on Wednesday
EW @
The 5-year-old mare was a runner-up three weeks ago at Kempton after being supported in the market. She was returning from a three-month break, tired at the finish and beaten by a progressive type. She should be better for the run. She has been first or second in 7 of 12 AW races. I like the fact that she’s had just one previous run at Newcastle, last April in a £77K Class 2 handicap, finishing a close 3rd of 14. She has a 2 lb lower mark for this Class 4 handicap.
- Annual Profit
- 944
- Annual Strike Rate
- 23 %
- 30 Days Profit
- 600
- 7 Days Profit
- 331
11 Twilight Fun
- Form: 9854-2
- 6yo 9st 4lb (12)
- T: Chelsea Banham
- J: Joey Haynes
0 / 30 Win Tips0%1 expert
1 comment2 / 27 EW Tips7%0 / 7 NAPs0%+1826 profit on Horse Racing in the last 6 months
EW @
Twilight Fun loves the 6f trip with two wins and a 40% strike rate here. She ran a cracker at Chelmsford, beaten just 1 length despite being very keen early in the new blinkers. A mark of 77 looks very doable to follow up and is workable with class form at 29% in wins so far.
- Annual Profit
- 2833
- Annual Strike Rate
- 27 %
- 30 Days Profit
- -8
- 7 Days Profit
- -266
9 Fortamour
- Form: 08511-
- 10yo 9st 5lb (11)
- T: Ben Haslam
- J: Joanna Mason
2 / 30 Win Tips7%1 comment2 / 27 EW Tips7%0 / 7 NAPs0%Won on Howzak @41.00 on Wednesday
WIN @
Fortamour is a grand old 10yo gedling trained by the in form Ben Haslam who is 11/65 wins with 10 of them coming at Ripon and Newcastle where he is a four time winner so he likes what he likes - he returns from a short break on the back of two wins over CD at his beloved Newcastle off a mark of 78 just 3lb above his last win and given he's posted a career high RPR of 92 on the AW it wouldn't be a surprise if the hat trick if wins was posted by Fortamour in the lucky last.
- Annual Profit
- -1441
- Annual Strike Rate
- 16 %
- 30 Days Profit
- 254
- 7 Days Profit
- 219
3 Raatea
- Form: 7710-2
- 9yo 9st 6lb (6)
- T: Julie Camacho
- J: Oisin McSweeney
1 / 30 Win Tips3%2 experts
2 comments4 / 27 EW Tips15%0 / 7 NAPs0%- Annual Profit
- 2294
- Annual Strike Rate
- 26 %
- 30 Days Profit
- 148
- 7 Days Profit
- -61
2 Northern Spirit
- Form: 47-6R5
- 6yo 9st 7lb (1)
- T: Brian Ellison
- J: Ben Robinson
0 / 30 Win Tips0%0 / 27 EW Tips0%0 / 7 NAPs0%
5 Arnhem
- Form: 377-23
- 10yo 9st 6lb (5)
- T: Jim Goldie
- J: Paul Mulrennan
2 / 30 Win Tips7%1 expert
1 comment1 / 27 EW Tips4%0 / 7 NAPs0%+1543 profit on Horse Racing in the last year
WIN @
Arnhem is running consistently well, not drawn out of it, and could be the one that gets up in a very close-looking handicap.
- Annual Profit
- 1543
- Annual Strike Rate
- 24 %
- 30 Days Profit
- -28
- 7 Days Profit
- -20
10 Dorney Lake
- Form: 869-95
- 5yo 9st 4lb (9)
- T: Liam Bailey
- J: Billy Garritty
1 / 30 Win Tips3%1 / 27 EW Tips4%0 / 7 NAPs0%
Experts are OLBG tipsters with high strike rates, current month or 6 month profitability for a particular sport.
Value Rating is based on comparing the odds of a selection to the theoretical probability of winning based on the percentage of tips for it.
Profits calculated to a 10 point stake.