2:02 Newcastle Tips

In my MTF notes for a while, Based finally came good when scoring by 2 lengths last time out. Can progress further despite the 6lb rise.

Won here before and largely absent since, promising run latest at bath and dropped a helpful pound for this, can go close

While his recent runs on turf at Wetherby and Doncaster didn't set the world on fire, he was only beaten by a little over a length last time out on grass, showing his fitness is exactly where it needs to be. ​The big angle tomorrow is the return to the Newcastle all-weather. He's a completely different animal on this surface, possessing the ideal high-tempo cruising speed and strong finishing sectionals to slice through Class 6 fields like this. ​He lines up off a highly dangerous official handicap rating of 57??'which is only a single pound higher than his last winning mark over this track. The yard is signaling real intent by booking standard Northern pilot David Allan to guide him from stall 11. Back on the Tapeta where he does his best work, Surgeon Commander has all the credentials to completely handle business and looks like massive value

Fanjove is primed for a massive performance tomorrow because of a clever tactical change. The model flags him as an incredible value bet at 10/1, largely due to the application of first-time blinkers. This headgear is a proven trick for sharpening a horse's focus instantly, and trainer Ed Dunlop has an excellent record when using this angle. Additionally, top jockey Callum Rodriguez takes over the ride on a surface where Fanjove has already run well. While his wide draw looks tricky on paper, his hidden tactical class means he is vastly overpriced by the public.