4:42 Newbury Tips

This horse was sent off as short as 6/1 to win a Grade 2 earlier in her career and should go close in this handicap off 110 for Nicky Henderson. The tongue tie used in the last 2 races has obviously helped her and I think it's also helped James Bowen realise that he needs to make sure the horse doesn't hit the front too soon since she doesn't do much once she's in front. She's an 8yo now which I don't see as a negative over these longer hurdles trips and she doesn't have many miles on the clock for an 8yo either.

High Treason was under a length behind today's likely fav De Kingpin over CD in January and is 9 lb better off today. That came after a two-month break and an under-par spell racing over fences. He was not disgraced last time in a very competitive Class 3 event at Ascot when 9th of 18 (different jockey). He's weighted to beat the fav and there is no reason to believe he will not run his race. He has won on good ground and heavy ground previously. Dropped back in class and with the usual rider returning to the saddle plus a change of headgear, the stable is in strong form. A tempting win-only bet; however, 16/1 looks outstanding each-way value.

Kosasiempre ran on into a modest 3rd of 5 over course and distance on soft/heavy last time, but she probably prefers better going. She could get at least a place from near the bottom of the handicap.

In her last run, she exhibited notable improvement, finishing a commendable 4th at Wincanton last month. Given that the trip and going are advantageous for her, the 25/1 odds with four places available present a fair each-way opportunity.