3:20 Ascot Tips

Won a Kempton maiden followed by a York handicap & ran at least as well when coming off the pace to finish third at Newmarket's July course a month ago. This stiffer track will suit & looks the one to beat.

The Uncontested Value Anchor: Red Spells Danger #1 Selection Red Spells Danger represents an exceptional mathematical overlay under your custom settings. Tim Easterby's ultra-consistent 3-year-old enters the matrix with excellent handicap floor validation, running off a highly competitive mark of 92 compared to top-weight expectations. Her proven tactical gate speed and robust physical framework suit Ascot's stiff, straight 6f track flawlessly. Mapped cleanly to handle the early central stride from stall 3, her live price of 9/2 is a significant overlay against Bob's true 3/1 line.

Five runs this year for the 3yo filly, all Listed or Group races. Not beaten far in her last two races. She travelled well in a 13 runner Group 3 last time out, still in the mix a furlong out, a bit short of room and outpaced late on, but she was beaten by four runners rated 105-111. This is her first career run in handicap company and her mark of 92 does look attractive. 16/1 from William Hill looks way overpriced.

Grasmere Boy has won 2 of his last 3 races and appears to be on the upgrade. He has the assistance in the saddle from a legendary Japanese jockey and can reward each-way support in this race.

Happy to give Havana Hurricane another chance on his first run since a gelding op. Won the Windsor Castle here as a 2yo before finding Group 1 & 2 company too hot. Good run on return but poor when pitched into the Group 1 Commonwealth Cup, and had cheekpieces enlisted for two runs over 5f since. Back up to 6f having dropped to a mark of 97 and if things drop right I've no doubt he can win from that rating.