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- Bookies give odds of 8/11 that 2023 will be the hottest year ever recorded by NASA's figures
- The betting market goes off NASA’s GISTEMP Surface Temperature Analysis
- Further betting specials given around weather this year
Bookies give odds of 8/11 that 2023 will be the hottest year ever recorded by NASA's figures
Weather betting is starting to grow in interest with the climate growing in temperature as we reach the Summer months and one of those markets includes whether 2023 will be the hottest ever recorded.
Bookmakers now say there's a 57% chance that 2023 is the hottest ever recorded after a spot of warm weather reached the UK at the weekend.
Earth's average surface temperature in 2022 was tied with 2015 as being the 5th warmest on record with the planet's Global Warming trend continuing.
The latest betting odds now say it's 8/11 that it will be the hottest year ever recorded this year with modern record-keeping beginning in 1880.
The betting market goes off NASA’s GISTEMP Surface Temperature Analysis
Betting for the hottest temperature ever recorded comes from NASA’s GISTEMP Surface Temperature Analysis which gives the temperature based on the land-ocean reading that is given on the climate.nasa.gov site.
NASA's website says, "NASA's full dataset of global surface temperatures through 2022, as well as full details with code of how NASA scientists conducted the analysis, are publicly available from GISS.
GISS is a NASA laboratory managed by the Earth Sciences Division of the agency's Goddard Space Flight Center in Greenbelt, Maryland. The laboratory is affiliated with Columbia University's Earth Institute and School of Engineering and Applied Science in New York."
Further betting specials given around weather this year
William Hill did offer a whole host of weather specials at the start of January for 2023 including odds of 6/1 that we see the hottest day ever recorded take place at some point in the UK.
The current record for the hottest ever day recorded in the UK is at 40.3c which was hit last year in Coningsby in Lancashire on 19th July and it may be that we see it broken again 12 months on.
Have a look at what the market looked like when it was originally posted at the start of January below, with odds of 25/1 given for snow on the King's Coronation which of course didn't happen.
| Weather 2023 Specials | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Snow on Christmas Day | 4/6 | 60% |
| Hottest temperature 40.3c or above | 6/1 | 14.3% |
| Snow on Easter Day | 10/1 | 9.1% |
| Coldest temperature -27.3c or below | 20/1 | 4.8% |
