Many people bet based on headlines or hunches. I dig into research and market moves behind political odds & manager markets, so you can back decisions, not guesses.
- Kamala Harris leads the way to win the popular vote at the US Election
- Donald Trump still favourite to win the US Election with America heading to the polls
- Joe Rogan publicly endorsed Trump after Elon Musk podcast on Monday night
Kamala Harris leads the way to win the popular vote at the US Election
America goes to the polls today with the US Presidential Election taking place and odds are now offered of who wins the popular vote with Kamala Harris the clear favourite with UK Betting Sites to do so.
The popular vote is basically who the public choose to win the election with the ballot that they cast picking between the main candidates for who they want to become president.
Those election results are then used as a guide for the Electoral College who will then cast votes for the presidential candidate and choose who will become the next president of the United States.
Kamala Harris has been expected to win the popular vote throughout the build-up to the election and now we've reached polling day she is as short as 1/4 to do so.
The odds give an implied probability of 80% that Harris wins the popular vote, with Donald Trump now drifting out to 11/4 to win the most direct votes by US Citizens.
| US Presidential Election 2024 - Popular Vote Winner | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Kamala Harris | 1/4 | 80.0% |
| Donald Trump | 11/4 | 26.7% |
What the expert says..
Donald Trump still favourite to win the US Election with America heading to the polls
Donald Trump became only the fifth president in history to win the presidency without winning the popular vote and the odds suggest he'll do so again this year.
Trump sits as the 8/13 favourite to win the US Presidential Election with his odds shortening slightly in William Hill's latest market in the past 24 hours.
OLBG reported yesterday that Trump's latest odds gave him a 60% chance of being voted in as President but now his probability has grown further to 61.9%.
| US Presidential Election 2024 | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump | 4/6 | 60.0% |
| Kamala Harris | 5/4 | 44.4% |
US Presidential Election Betting Odds: Last push happening to be the next US President with Donald Trump now given 60% PROBABILITY of winning!
Joe Rogan publicly endorsed Trump after Elon Musk podcast on Monday night
Trump's podcast with Joe Rogan became one of the most watched pieces of media around the Republican candidate with more than 45m views on YouTube for the interview.
Rogan had said that he wanted to talk to Harris as well in the build-up but that never came to fruition and the podcaster has since publicly endorsed Trump.
Last night, Rogan had Elon Musk on his podcast before posting on X about Musk that "If it wasn't for him we'd be fucked. He makes what I think is the most compelling case for Trump you'll hear, and I agree with him every step of the way. For the record, yes, that's an endorsement of Trump."
