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- Maybe Happy Ending is the overwhelming 1/8 favourite to win Best Musical.
- Darren Criss leads Best Actor odds, while Nicole Scherzinger tops Best Actress.
- 78th Tony Awards take place Sunday, June 8, 2025, at Radio City Music Hall in New York City.
Maybe Happy Ending Dominates Tony Awards 2025 Odds
As Broadway prepares for its biggest night, betting sites have installed Maybe Happy Ending as the runaway favourite to win Best Musical at the 78th Annual Tony Awards.
The sentimental musical, which has wowed critics with its charm and depth, is priced at just 1/8 with Paddy Power suggesting it's all but locked in to claim the top prize on June 8.
The 2025 ceremony will once again be held at Radio City Music Hall, with Cynthia Erivo stepping into hosting duties in what promises to be a celebration of live theatre’s continued post-pandemic resurgence.
Maybe Happy Ending is given an 88.9% implied probability of winning Best Musical at the show next month.
| Best Musical - Tony Awards | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Maybe Happy Ending | 1/8 | 88.9% |
| Death Becomes Her | 10/3 | 23.1% |
| Dead Outlaw | 20/1 | 4.8% |
| Buena Vista Social Club | 33/1 | 2.9% |
| Operation Mincemeat | 33/1 | 2.9% |
What the expert says...
Darren Criss Short Favourite for Best Actor in a Musical
In the Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role in a Musical, Darren Criss leads the betting at 2/5 for his role in Maybe Happy Ending.
He faces some competition from Jonathan Groff (5/1) and Jeremy Jordan (7/1), but the market clearly favours Criss’ performance.
| Best Actor in a Musical - Tony Awards | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Darren Criss (Maybe Happy Ending) | 2/5 | 71.4% |
| Jonathan Groff (Just in Time) | 5/1 | 16.7% |
| Jeremy Jordan (Floyd Collins) | 7/1 | 12.5% |
| Tom Francis (Sunset Blvd.) | 9/1 | 10.0% |
| Andrew Durrand (Dead Outlaw) | 16/1 | 5.9% |
| James Monre Iglehart (A Wonderful World: The Louis Armstrong Musical) | 20/1 | 4.8% |
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Scherzinger Slight Favourite for Best Actress in a Musical
Pop icon Nicole Scherzinger is priced at 4/6 to win Best Actress for her performance in Sunset Blvd., but Audra McDonald is a strong challenger at 2/1 for Gypsy.
This market remains wide open compared to Best Musical.
| Best Actress in a Musical - Tony Awards | ||
|---|---|---|
| Nicole Scherzinger (Sunset Blvd.) | 4/6 | 60.0% |
| Audra McDonald (Gypsy) | 2/1 | 33.3% |
| Jasmine Amy Rogers (Boop! The Musical) | 9/1 | 10.0% |
| Jennifer Simard (Death Becomes Her) | 12/1 | 7.7% |
| Megan Hilty (Death Becomes Her) | 16/1 | 5.9% |
Where to Bet on the Tony Awards
While the Tony Awards aren't widely covered by all bookies, Paddy Power is one of the best entertainment betting sites offering odds on major Broadway categories.
Check out UK betting sites for new betting offers and free bets around this and other entertainment events.
