Sunak 5/2 with Bookies to be Next Tory Leader but Starmer Challenging for next PM

Sunak 5/2 with Bookies to be Next Tory Leader but Starmer Challenging for next PM
Steve Madgwick
Steve Madgwick Editor-In-Chief

I've spent over 20 years inside the betting industry. I'll guide you to avoid the hype, ignore the noise, and steer clear of the common pitfalls that catch out everyday punters.

  • Rishi Sunak remains 5/2 favourite to be the next Tory party leader after Boris Johnson
  • Liz Truss has become bookmakers 2nd favourite to be Next Tory leader with Bookies
  • The Chancellor has a 25% chance of becoming the Next Prime Minister
  • But Keir Starmer is equally fancied to be PM come the Next Election

Leader in Waiting

Rishi Sunak has delivered a party conference speech full of the promise of a bright and exciting future but warned that we have 'come through' recent times and there is much yet to be done.

He continues to be clear favourite in the next Conservative Leader betting markets ahead of Liz Truss who has made rent moves with support from political betting fans at the bookmakers.

The next leader of the Conservative Party looks to be a one-horse-race with Rishi Sunak a clear 5/2 favourite ahead of his nearest rival Liz Truss at 81/
Nigel Skinner - Political Betting Expert - OLBG.com

Next permanent leader of the Conservative Party, after Boris Johnson Betting

Candidate Odds Probability
Rishi Sunak 5/2 29%
Liz Truss 8/1 11%
Michael Gove 8/1 11%
Jeremy Hunt 12/1 8%
Sajid Javid 16/1 6%
Priri Patel 18/1 5%
Ben Wallace 18/1 5%

**Probability percentage figures include bookmakers overround - odds correct at 05/10/2021


Next Prime Minister

Sunak is the overwhelming favourite to become next Prime Minister ahead of Labour leader Keir Starmer with all but one betting site that have them as joint favourites.

Given that the Conservatives are clear favourites to win the next general election regardless of date, one can only assume that the next Prime Minister betting suggest Boris will be hanging onto his tenure for as long as possible, and the proximity of the Labour leader to Sunak's chances of filling the same role do somewhat contradict each other.

Next Prime Minister Betting

Odds presented in table are the best odds available from selected betting sites and correct at 05/10/2021


Odds Probability
Rishi Sunak 3/1 25%
Keir Starmer 7/2 22%
Michael Gove 11/1 8%
Jeremy Hunt 13/1 7%
Dominic Raab 20/1 5%
Liz Truss 25/1 4%
Andy Burnham 25/1 4%


Despite the Conservatives being overwhelming favorites to win the Next general Election, the fact Keir Starmer challenges Rishi Sunak for favouritism at around 3/1 in the Next PM market suggests punters think Boris will hang on until the bitter end.
Nigel Skinner - Political Betting Expert - OLBG.com

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