Jake is a Football and Entertainment betting expert, with a Man City season ticket and a deep knowledge of reality TV betting angles
- OLBG's odds say there's an 11/8 chance we see people on the moon again before 2030
- Our generated odds from a poll of our followers suggest there's more chance of people on Mars!
- Back in April 1964 a man got 1,000/1 odds for Man on the Moon
OLBG's odds say there's an 11/8 chance we see people on the moon again before 2030
A recent poll by OLBG to their Twitter followers has shown that a massive 57% of them feel that we will not see people on the moon again before 2030.
There's just under a 43% chance that we will according to our followers and we've transferred that over to betting odds to give more of a glimpse into the chances.
These aren't betting markets that are currently available, but using the results as a guide gives us a look at the probability of it happening.
| Will we see people on the moon by 2030? | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| No | 8/11 | 57.9% |
| Yes | 11/8 | 42.1% |
Odds generated through OLBG Twitter followers and are hypothetical based on the closest odds available based on percentage results
Our generated odds from a poll of our followers suggest there's more chance of people on Mars!
We also polled our followers around the chances of people on Mars, with the popularity of travelling to the planet soaring over recent years.
As of 2022, only robotic rovers and landers have been to Mars, but there is always talk of crewed starships heading there.
Our Twitter poll gave a 46.7% chance of people on Mars by 2030, giving a better probability of it happening than being on the moon according to our followers.
| Will we see people on Mars by 2030?
|
Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| No | 10/11 | 52.4% |
| Yes | 23/20 | 46.5% |
Odds generated through OLBG Twitter followers and are hypothetical based on the closest odds available based on percentage results
Back in April 1964 a man got 1,000/1 odds for Man on the Moon
All the way back in April 1964, 21-year-old David Threlfall wrote a letter to William Hill asking them what odds they'd give him for man to land on the moon.
William Hill responded to Threlfall soon after with odds of 1,000/1 of any person from any country to land on the moon.
Threlfell placed a £10 bet to win £10,000 and on July 20th 1969, 5 years after placing his bet, he was paid out.
The bookmaker gave Threlfall his winnings live on TV within 30 minutes of the landing taking place, handing him a cheque for £10,000 there.
Due to inflation, the £10,000 payout would be worth around £175,000 in today's money.
