
Jake is a Football and Entertainment betting expert, with a Man City season ticket and a deep knowledge of reality TV betting angles
- Shakira & Ty now 3/1 favourites to win Love Island 2025
- Tonight’s Casa Amor recoupling expected to change villa dynamics
- Tommy & Lucy (4/1) and Meg & Dejon (5/1) follow in the market
Shakira & Ty Surge to the Top of Love Island 2025 Odds Ahead of Casa Amor Recoupling
As Casa Amor concludes tonight, all eyes are on which couples will choose to stick or twist and the betting markets suggest there’s a new favourite to win this year’s Love Island.
Following a strong Casa Amor week and a popular connection, Shakira and Ty are now 3/1 favourites to win the show, leapfrogging Tommy who had led the market earlier this week.
According to the latest odds Shakira and Ty are now favourites to go all the way, with their chemistry capturing the attention of both fans and fellow Islanders.
What is certain is that we will see a dramatic evening take place in the Love Island villa tonight.
Love Island Winning Couple | Odds* | Probability |
---|---|---|
Shakira & Ty | 3/1 | 33.3% |
Tommy & Lucy | 4/1 | 20.0% |
Meg & Dejon | 5/1 | 16.7% |
Conor & Emma | 7/1 | 12.5% |
Helena & Harry | 7/1 | 12.5% |
*As betting sites currently aren't taking bets on this market, odds have been compiled as theoretical probability from an entertainment perspective only and come from an industry expert
What the expert says...
Tonight’s recoupling promises major drama, with several Islanders expected to return from Casa Amor with new partners.
Shakira’s connection with Ty has been one of the standout developments of the twist, and the odds reflect the growing belief that the pair could make it all the way to the final.
Other couples like Meg & Dejon and Helena & Harry have also seen betting support with those expected to stay together, but market momentum is firmly behind Shakira & Ty as the dust settles.

Love Island Betting Odds: TV Specials Betting Guide
Where to Bet on Love Island 2025
With betting markets live across the UK’s top betting sites, punters can back their favourite couples for Love Island 2025 glory.
From outright winners to recoupling specials, the best entertainment betting sites are offering markets updated in real-time.
Claim the latest new betting offers to bet on Love Island, reality TV, and more for those looking to get in before the odds shift again post-recoupling.