Jake is a Football and Entertainment betting expert, with a Man City season ticket and a deep knowledge of reality TV betting angles
- Bookies put Ciaran Davies as the leader in the market to be the Top Male on this year's Love Island
- Love Island 2024 kicks off tonight on ITV1 and ITV2 as well as ITVX
- Samantha Kenny and Nicole Samuel remain joint favourites to be Top Woman on the show this year
Bookies put Ciaran Davies as the leader in the market to be the Top Male on this year's Love Island
With the brand new series of Love Island kicking off tonight, Monday 3 June, bookmakers are offering early odds on who they think will win the show with the Top Male category already having a clear favourite in the market.
21-year-old Ciaran Davies leads the market to be the Top Male on the show this year with the latest betting odds already giving him the greatest chance of winning the show when it wraps up in an expected 8 weeks time.
Davies had been alongside Ronnie Vint in the opening betting market back at the start of last week but with the contestants VT's being released as well as branded images there has been a surge in bets placed.
William Hill's betting market has Welshman Davies at 7/2 to win the show which gives an implied probability of 22.2% that he will stay in the contest the whole way through and end up as the Top Male.
| Love Island 2024 Top Man | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Ciaran Davies | 7/2 | 22.2% |
| Ronnie Vint | 4/1 | 20.0% |
| Sean Stone | 4/1 | 20.0% |
| Ayo Odukoya | 9/2 | 18.2% |
| Sam Taylor | 5/1 | 16.7% |
| Munveer Jabbal | 5/1 | 16.7% |
What the expert says...
Love Island 2024 kicks off tonight on ITV1 and ITV2 as well as ITVX
Love Island gets underway tonight with Maya Jama hosting the show once again which sees 12 contestants head to the Spanish villa looking for love.
The show will air on both ITV1 and ITV2, similar to how ITV decided to air the reboot of Big Brother's opening show, with the move expected to boost TV ratings.
The full list of the 12 Islanders to head into the villa this year and their ages:
- Mimii Ngulube, 24
- Harri Blackmore, 24
- Patsy Field, 25
- Jessica White, 25
- Nicole Samuel, 23
- Samantha Kenny, 26
- Ciaran Davies, 21
- Sean Stone, 24
- Sam Taylor, 23
- Munveer Jabbal, 30
- Ayo Odukoya, 25
- Ronnie Vint, 27
Samantha Kenny and Nicole Samuel remain joint favourites to be Top Woman on the show this year
The betting market for Top Female has stayed consistent in the past week with Samantha Kenny and Nicole Samuel both still 7/2 joint favourites in the odds list to win the show.
26-year-old Scouser Samantha Kenny and 23-year-old Welsh girl Nicole Samuel were instantly placed as the favourites in the market when the first run of pictures were released for this year's islanders.
That has stayed that way with neither being backed too much to be put into favourites outright with bookies failing to separate them at the top of the betting odds for this summer's series.
| Love Island 2024 Top Woman | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Samantha Kenny | 7/2 | 22.2% |
| Nicole Samuel | 7/2 | 22.2% |
| Harriet Blackmore | 4/1 | 20.0% |
| Mimii Ngulube | 5/1 | 16.7% |
| Patsy Field | 5/1 | 16.7% |
| Jessica White | 11/2 | 15.4% |
