I break betting odds news as it happens, so you’re never left behind when the market moves or a top offer lands.
- Avengers: Doomsday is the 1/2 favourite for highest grossing movie of 2026, an implied 66.67% probability
- The Super Mario Galaxy Movie sits next-best at 6/4, with The Odyssey and Spider-Man: Brand New Day both at 7/2
- Christopher Nolan's The Odyssey releases 17 July and is the wildcard on the board given his recent box office trajectory
Bookmakers Price Up the 2026 Box Office Race
Betting sites have priced up the highest grossing movie of 2026 market ahead of The Odyssey's release on 17 July, and the shape of the market tells you exactly which titles are pulling the box office weight this year.
Avengers: Doomsday sits at 1/2 (implied 66.67%) as an emphatic favourite, with The Super Mario Galaxy Movie next-best at 6/4 (40% implied).
Behind them sit two joint third-favourites at 7/2, Christopher Nolan's The Odyssey and Spider-Man: Brand New Day, with Toy Story 5 (5/1), the Michael Jackson biopic Michael (7/1), and the live-action Moana (9/1) rounding out the field.
What jumps out immediately is that Nolan's The Odyssey is priced level with Sony's next Spider-Man release, a market position that reflects a director whose commercial trajectory has genuinely shifted the maths on adult-drama box office over the last three years.
Highest Grossing Movie of 2026 Odds
| Highest Grossing Movie of 2026 | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Avengers: Doomsday | 1/2 | 66.67% |
| The Super Mario Galaxy Movie | 6/4 | 40.00% |
| The Odyssey | 7/2 | 22.22% |
| Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 7/2 | 22.22% |
| Toy Story 5 | 5/1 | 16.67% |
| Michael | 7/1 | 12.50% |
| Moana (Live Action) | 9/1 | 10.00% |
Why The Odyssey Is the Wildcard on the Board
The 7/2 price on Christopher Nolan's The Odyssey is the one that rewards a closer look, and the reason has less to do with the film itself and more to do with what Nolan's recent commercial run has done to the market's understanding of what counts as a viable box office frontrunner.
Oppenheimer took just over $975 million globally in 2023 and reset expectations for what Nolan's name alone can do at the global box office.
Where a Nolan project would once have been slotted comfortably outside the box office top three, it now sits at a real 22% implied probability against a Marvel comeback event and a family-friendly Nintendo tentpole.
Landing in the heart of summer blockbuster season gives The Odyssey the widest possible runway to accumulate the multi-month theatrical legs that have historically been Nolan's commercial hallmark.
What the expert says...
Doomsday and Mario at the Top
Avengers: Doomsday at 1/2 (66.67% implied) reflects a market that has bought into Marvel's comeback narrative. Following a mixed post-Endgame stretch, Doomsday is being positioned as the studio's return-to-scale event.
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie at 6/4 is the more interesting of the leading pair as it has already broken the $1b mark at the Box Office after it was released earlier this year.
A 40% implied probability suggests bookmakers see it as a legitimate contender to keep a lead over Doomsday if the Marvel release stumbles.
Where To Bet on Film Box Office Markets
Film and box office specials are one of the more distinctive corners of entertainment betting, with the best entertainment betting sites typically leading pricing on annual highest-grosser markets, opening weekend specials and Oscars box office props.
These markets often settle later than most sports events as highest grosser markets typically don't resolve until early January of the following year, once all December releases have completed their theatrical runs.
