Jake is a Football and Entertainment betting expert, with a Man City season ticket and a deep knowledge of reality TV betting angles
- Suella Braverman has a 40% chance of being the first cabinet member to leave according to the latest odds
- Braverman has been in the news lately for her return to the cabinet following her resignation under Liz Truss
- Specials also given around the World Cup and politics
Suella Braverman has a 40% chance of being the first cabinet member to leave according to the latest odds
Bookies make Suella Braverman the 6/4 favourite to be the first member of Rishi Sunak's cabinet to leave with his reign as PM at 12 days currently.
Just last week, Braverman was given a 71% chance of leaving before the end of the year after pressure mounted on the Home Secretary.
Smarkets make her the outright favourite to be the first cabinet member to leave the Sunak reign with a 40% chance of doing so.
| First Cabinet Member to leave | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Suella Braverman | 6/4 | 40% |
| David Davies | 9/1 | 10% |
| Nadhim Zahawi | 9/1 | 10% |
| Penny Mordaunt | 9/1 | 10% |
| Chris Heaton-Harris | 10/1 | 9.1% |
David Davies, Nadhim Zahawi and Penny Mordaunt are all the joint second favourites at 9/1 to be the first to leave.
Braverman has been in the news lately for her return to the cabinet following her resignation under Liz Truss
The UK political news has been dominated by Suella Braverman in recent weeks with calls for her to explain actions around her resignation under Liz Truss.
Braverman was criticised for using inflammatory language around asylum seekers by describing entrants as an 'invasion' of the south coast.
The Joint Council for the Welfare of Immigrants condemned the language that was used by Braverman saying she is "putting lives at risk".
Specials also given around the World Cup and politics
With the World Cup set to take place later this month in Qatar, bookies are also giving specials on politics during the event.
Betway make it 4/1 that we see two Home Secretaries during the World Cup, which takes place from November 20 to December 18.
| Number of Home Secretaries during the World Cup | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| One | 1/4 | 80.0% |
| Two | 4/1 | 20.0% |
| Three or more | 16/1 | 5.9% |
Bookies also go 16/1 that we see two Prime Ministers during the World Cup time with a 5.9% chance that Rishi Sunak's reign comes to an end then.
