Jake is a Football and Entertainment betting expert, with a Man City season ticket and a deep knowledge of reality TV betting angles
- Eurovision 2025 Semi-Final 2 takes place Thursday 15 May in Basel, Switzerland
- Israel lead the market at 8/11, ahead of Finland and Austria.
- Sixteen countries will perform, with France, Germany, and the UK also voting in this semi-final.
Israel Lead the Eurovision Semi Final 2 Betting in Basel
With Eurovision Song Contest 2025 nearing, the spotlight turns to Semi-Final 2 and Israel head into the show as the firm 8/11 favourites with bet365.
Strong rehearsal footage, a favourable draw, and solid fan momentum have seen Israel take command of the market with politics also coming into their position in the market.
Earlier this week the European Broadcasting Union confirmed that a ban on flags has been overturned with the Palestinian flag one of those that will likely be waved by fans in the audience.
UK Betting Sites give an implied probability of 57.9% that Israel win the second Semi-Final with the odds not as clear as Semi-Final 1 where Sweden are 2/9 favourites.
| Eurovision Song Contest Semi Final 1 Winner | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Israel | 8/11 | 57.9% |
| Finland | 11/5 | 31.3% |
| Austria | 9/2 | 18.2% |
| Malta | 20/1 | 4.8% |
| Greece | 50/1 | 2.0% |
What the expert says...
What to expect from Semi Final 2
Sixteen countries will perform in Semi-Final 2, with France, Germany, and the United Kingdom also voting in this round, alongside the “Rest of the World” audience.
Israel’s polished, emotionally charged entry is expected to do well with both juries and televoters.
Finland (11/5) offers a high-energy contrast and remains the top challenger, while Austria (9/2) presents a more jury-friendly ballad.
Expect a tightly produced show from St. Jakobshalle in Basel, with visuals, staging, and crowd response playing key roles in last-minute betting shifts.
