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- Sweden are 1/7 favourites to win Semi Final 1 on Tuesday 13 May.
- Top 10 from each semi-final advance to the Grand Final on Saturday 17 May.
- The 2025 contest takes place in Basel, Switzerland, at St Jakobshalle.
Sweden Head and Shoulders Above the Field in Semi Final 1 Odds
As the 2025 Eurovision Song Contest kicks off this week, Sweden enter both Semi Final 1 and the overall competition as clear market leaders.
Priced at just 1/7 with bet365, Sweden are seen as near certainties to win their semi-final on Tuesday night, with the first live show of the contest set to feature 15 acts vying for one of 10 qualification spots.
Sweden are represented by Finnish group KAJ at this year's Eurovision and are massive favourites to win the Song Contest's Final on Saturday night.
The latest odds from UK Betting Sites give an implied probability of 87.5% that Sweden win Semi Final one this evening.
| Eurovision Song Contest 2025 Semi Final 1 Winner | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Sweden | 1/7 | 87.5% |
| Estonia | 7/1 | 12.5% |
| Netherlands | 16/1 | 5.9% |
| Albania | 25/1 | 3.8% |
| Belgium | 28/1 | 3.4% |
What the expert says...
What’s at Stake in the Semi Finals?
Both semi-finals will determine 20 of the 26 Grand Finalists, with the top 10 acts from each heat progressing.
They’ll join the ‘Big Five’ nations (UK, France, Germany, Spain, Italy) and hosts Switzerland, who all qualify automatically.
Tuesday’s Semi Final 1 features 15 countries, while Thursday’s Semi Final 2 includes 16, with some highly anticipated performances across both nights.
The Grand Final takes place on Saturday 17 May and will be broadcast live across Europe and beyond from St Jakobshalle in Basel, after Switzerland won in 2024 with The Code by Nemo.
Eurovision Song Contest Betting: Predictions, Tips and Insights for the 2026 Show in Austria
Eurovision 2025 – Key Dates
- Semi Final 1: Tuesday 13 May, 8pm
- Semi Final 2: Thursday 15 May, 8pm
- Grand Final: Saturday 17 May, 8pm
Eurovision Song Contest Final Odds
| Eurovision Song Contest 2025 Final Winner | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Sweden | 4/5 | 55.6% |
| Austria | 11/4 | 26.7% |
| France | 11/1 | 8.3% |
| Belgium | 16/1 | 5.9% |
| Israel | 18/1 | 5.3% |
Where to Bet on Eurovision 2025
Eurovision winner and semi-final markets are live now at top UK Betting Sites, with bet365 offering competitive prices across all heats.
Before placing your bets, check out the latest free bets and our expert-curated best entertainment betting sites for full coverage of Eurovision and other TV betting markets.
