Eurovision 2025 Semi Final 1 Odds: Sweden Strong Favourite to Win Opening Heat

Sweden are overwhelming favourites to win Semi Final 1 of the 2025 Eurovision Song Contest at odds of 1/7. See the latest market and key details for Tuesday’s live show in Basel.
Eurovision 2025 Semi Final 1 Odds: Sweden Strong Favourite to Win Opening Heat

Image: https://eurovision.tv/

Jake Ashton
Jake Ashton - Your Betting Odds Guide 👍

I break betting odds news as it happens, so you’re never left behind when the market moves or a top offer lands.

  • Sweden are 1/7 favourites to win Semi Final 1 on Tuesday 13 May.
  • Top 10 from each semi-final advance to the Grand Final on Saturday 17 May.
  • The 2025 contest takes place in Basel, Switzerland, at St Jakobshalle.

Sweden Head and Shoulders Above the Field in Semi Final 1 Odds

As the 2025 Eurovision Song Contest kicks off this week, Sweden enter both Semi Final 1 and the overall competition as clear market leaders.

Priced at just 1/7 with bet365, Sweden are seen as near certainties to win their semi-final on Tuesday night, with the first live show of the contest set to feature 15 acts vying for one of 10 qualification spots.

Sweden are represented by Finnish group KAJ at this year's Eurovision and are massive favourites to win the Song Contest's Final on Saturday night.

The latest odds from UK Betting Sites give an implied probability of 87.5% that Sweden win Semi Final one this evening.

Eurovision Song Contest 2025 Semi Final 1 WinnerOddsProbability
Sweden1/787.5%
Estonia7/112.5%
Netherlands16/15.9%
Albania25/13.8%
Belgium28/13.4%
What the expert says...
Sweden’s dominance in this semi-final is clear both on the stage and in the betting market. It’s hard to see anyone else topping the heat unless something unexpected happens in the live show.

Jake Ashton - Entertainment Betting Expert - OLBG.com

What’s at Stake in the Semi Finals?

Both semi-finals will determine 20 of the 26 Grand Finalists, with the top 10 acts from each heat progressing. 

They’ll join the ‘Big Five’ nations (UK, France, Germany, Spain, Italy) and hosts Switzerland, who all qualify automatically.

Tuesday’s Semi Final 1 features 15 countries, while Thursday’s Semi Final 2 includes 16, with some highly anticipated performances across both nights.

The Grand Final takes place on Saturday 17 May and will be broadcast live across Europe and beyond from St Jakobshalle in Basel, after Switzerland won in 2024 with The Code by Nemo.

Eurovision Song Contest Betting: Predictions, Tips and Insights for the 2025 Show in Switzerland
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Eurovision Song Contest Betting: Predictions, Tips and Insights for the 2025 Show in Switzerland

Eurovision Song Contest Final Odds

Eurovision Song Contest 2025 Final WinnerOddsProbability
Sweden4/555.6%
Austria11/426.7%
France11/18.3%
Belgium16/15.9%
Israel18/15.3%

Where to Bet on Eurovision 2025

Eurovision winner and semi-final markets are live now at top UK Betting Sites, with bet365 offering competitive prices across all heats.

Before placing your bets, check out the latest free bets and our expert-curated best entertainment betting sites for full coverage of Eurovision and other TV betting markets.

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