Jake is a Football and Entertainment betting expert, with a Man City season ticket and a deep knowledge of reality TV betting angles
- Austria move from 4/1 into 9/4 staying second favourites to win Eurovision 2025.
- Sweden remain top of the market at 5/4, with France and Israel now drifting.
- The Eurovision final takes place Saturday, May 17 in Basel, Switzerland.
Eurovision Betting Market Tightens as Austria Surge Ahead of Final
With just days to go before the Eurovision Song Contest 2025, betting momentum is shifting fast and it’s Austria making the biggest move.
Following a strong rehearsal and growing social buzz, Austria’s entry has been cut from 4/1 to just 9/4 with Bet365, putting serious pressure on long-time favourites Sweden at 5/4.
The latest market shows just how much confidence punters are placing in Austria and with voting trends often shifting after the Semi-Finals, the top spot is far from secure.
UK Betting Sites give Austria a 30.8% chance of winning this year's Eurovision Song Contest with Sweden's probability at 44.4%.
| Eurovision Song Contest 2025 Winner | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Sweden | 5/4 | 44.4% |
| Austria | 9/4 | 30.8% |
| France | 8/1 | 11.1% |
| Israel | 9/1 | 10.0% |
| Netherlands | 25/1 | 3.8% |
| Finland | 28/1 | 3.4% |
| United Kingdom | 80/1 | 1.2% |
What the expert says...
Austria’s Momentum Builds But Can They Dethrone Sweden?
Austria’s rise in the market is no fluke. JJ's 'Wasted Love' has gathered significant TikTok traction, positive jury buzz, and sits in a strong running order slot for the final.
In contrast, while Sweden’s act is still technically favourite, the price movement suggests backers are looking elsewhere for value and an eight Swedish Eurovision victory may not be as inevitable as once believed.
France (8/1) and Israel (9/1) have cooled slightly since last month’s odds update, with staging reviews and televote momentum not keeping pace with Austria’s surge.
Eurovision Song Contest Betting: Predictions, Tips and Insights for the 2025 Show in Switzerland
Where to Bet on Eurovision 2025
Markets for Eurovision 2025 are live now at major betting sites, with odds offered on the outright winner, semi-final winners and more.
Before the final, don’t forget to check the latest free bets and our best entertainment betting sites guide for more music and pop culture specials.
