Football Manager Expert and Political Betting Specialist across Exchange and Spread Betting Sites
- Donald Trump is now 1/5 to not go to prison despite being convicted on all 34 counts of falsifying business records
- Trump is set to be sentenced on 11 July with a fine more likely to happen than jail time
- Trump is 5/6 to win the US Presidential Election later this year
Donald Trump is now 1/5 to not go to prison despite being convicted on all 34 counts of falsifying business records
Former US President Donald Trump was found guilty on all 34 counts of falsifying business records as his criminal trial in New York wrapped up on Thursday.
Despite the guilty verdict, bookmakers now make it heavily odds-on that Trump will not face any prison time with the latest market at 1/5 that the former president does not serve time in jail.
The verdict on Thursday made it the first time that any serving or former US President has been convicted of a crime with the guilty verdict coming in the midst of his campaign against Joe Biden for the next Presidential election.
Latest betting odds on Trump heading to jail now say that there's an 83.3% chance that he will NOT face any jail time ahead of the sentencing on 11 July.
| Will Donald Trump serve a day in prison before 2026? | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3/1 | 25.0% |
| No | 1/5 | 83.3% |
What the expert says..
Trump is set to be sentenced on 11 July with a fine more likely to happen than jail time
Trump's sentencing will take place on July 11 following his 34 guilty charges on Thursday and all of those charges were the Class E felonies which are the lowest in the state of New York.
Each charge though does face a maximum four-year sentence but it is unlikely that Trump will serve any jail time if the latest betting odds are to be believed.
Justice Juan Manuel Merchan will choose the punishment on that July 11 date with a number of things going in Trump's favour for him to not head to jail such as his age and the protection that he is entitled to which would mean Secret Service agents would be in prison with him.
Next US President Odds: A Betting Guide
Trump is 5/6 to win the US Presidential Election later this year
Betting odds are also being offered on the US Presidential Election later this year with Trump staying the odds-on favourite to be re-elected as US President once again.
Trump had moved into odds-on in the past month with constant backing in the betting odds seeing him shorten ahead of Joe Biden in the market.
The guilty verdict by Trump on Thursday hasn't changed the odds at all with the election still looking like being a victory for the former President with the odds saying there's a 54.5% chance he is voted in once more.
| US Presidential Election 2024 | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump | 5/6 | 54.5% |
| Joe Biden | 5/4 | 44.4% |
| Michelle Obama | 14/1 | 6.7% |
| Robert Kennedy Jr. | 28/1 | 3.4% |
Political Betting Author Information
Political Betting Expert
Jake Ashton
Senior News Editor
