Christmas Number One Odds: Wham Lead But Kylie Minogue Gathers Festive Momentum

Wham's classic 'Last Christmas' leads the betting for 2025's Christmas Number One, but Kylie Minogue's new Amazon Music exclusive could shake things up. See the latest odds and betting tips.
Christmas Number One Odds: Wham Lead But Kylie Minogue Gathers Festive Momentum

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Jake Ashton
Jake Ashton - Your Betting Odds Guide 👍

I break betting odds news as it happens, so you’re never left behind when the market moves or a top offer lands.

  • Wham's 'Last Christmas' is odds-on at 10/11 to hit Number One.
  • Kylie Minogue’s Amazon-exclusive track 'XMAS' surges into second favourite at 5/1.
  • Bookmakers like William Hill now offering full Christmas chart markets.

Wham Favourite But Kylie Minogue Gains Ground for Christmas Chart Crown

With the festive season fast approaching, bookmakers have updated the betting odds for this year’s coveted Christmas Number One and Wham remain favourites to top the charts once again with their iconic hit ‘Last Christmas’, sitting at 10/11.

But all eyes are now on Kylie Minogue, who has surged to 5/1 after the release of her brand-new Amazon Music Original track ‘XMAS’. 

With the single set to dominate Alexa’s default holiday playlists in homes across the UK, stream volumes are expected to spike significantly in the run-up to the big day.

Minogue’s exclusive deal with Amazon Music positions ‘XMAS’ front and centre as soon as listeners ask Alexa to play Christmas songs which is a key factor in streaming-driven chart rankings.

William Hill's latest market gives an implied probability of 52.4% that Wham hit the top spot once again.

Latest Christmas Number One 2025 Odds

Christmas Number One 2025
OddsImplied Probability
Wham10/1152.4%
Kylie Minogue5/116.7%
Mariah Carey12/17.7%
Sabrina Carpenter12/17.7%
Ed Sheeran12/17.7%
Labrinth12/17.7%
Alison Limerick12/17.7%
Sidemen16/15.9%
Taylor Swift16/15.9%

Will Wham Take The Crown Once Again?

While Wham’s ‘Last Christmas’ is a perennial favourite that has topped the streaming charts around December for years, it only officially hit the Xmas Number One spot in 2023.

2024 also saw the classic song at Number One and we may well see a hat-trick take place this year.

Elsewhere in the market, Mariah Carey sits at 12/1, alongside a handful of other big names like Sabrina Carpenter, Ed Sheeran, Labrinth, and Alison Limerick. 

Viral contenders such as the Sidemen (16/1) could also disrupt the traditional contenders.

What the expert says...
With Kylie's new track baked into Amazon's festive playlists, she’s a real threat to Wham’s crown this year. It could come down to streaming algorithms versus nostalgic sentiment.

Jake Ashton - Entertainment Betting Expert - OLBG.com

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