I've spent over 20 years inside the betting industry. I'll guide you to avoid the hype, ignore the noise, and steer clear of the common pitfalls that catch out everyday punters.
- Bookmakers odds suggest there is an 40% chance that Boris Will exit his position in 2022
- Exit probability has risen from just 20% 2 weeks ago to 40% after PM's Questions on Wednesday
- Rishi Sunak and Liz Truss in Running for Next PM according to bookmakers
And so it was with some swiftness, speculation of an exit date from Boris Johnson's current PM position began after Question on Wednesday morning and more pressure in regards 'Partygate', the net result being betting sites odds on him leaving his position in 2022, halved, and probability doubled from 20 to 40%
Just 2 weeks ago, Boris Johnson was 7/2 to leave in 2022, but that price crashed to just 6/4 on Wednesday
Arguably the effects have been seen on the entire party, with The Liberal Democrats in the North Shropshire by election going from 6/1 to win the vote to odds on favourites by lunchtime Friday
Boris Johnson Exit Date Betting Odds
| Exit Date |
|
|
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 20/1 | 4% |
| 2022 | 6/4 | 40% |
| 2023 | 4/1 | 20% |
| 2024 | 6/4 | 40% |
Who Will be the Next PM after Boris?
So with speculation of an early exit for the PM in 2022, who would be in the running to be the next Prime Minister.
Rishi Sunak has been at the top of the list as chancellor for a long time now, but Liz Truss is on his heels and making ground according to the bookmakers betting odds.
So let's take a look at the betting for the Next Conservative Party Leader
Next Conservative Party Leader Betting Odds
|
|
Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Rishi Sunak | 3/1 | 25% |
| Liz Truss | 4/1 | 20% |
| Michael Gove | 7/1 | 12.5% |
| Jeremy Hunt | 10/1 | 9.09% |
| Sajid Javid | 16/1 | 5.88% |
