Boris Johnson Betting: 44% Chance Boris stays till 2023 at Least

Boris Johnson Betting: 44% Chance Boris stays till 2023 at Least
Steve Madgwick
Steve Madgwick Editor-In-Chief

I've spent over 20 years inside the betting industry. I'll guide you to avoid the hype, ignore the noise, and steer clear of the common pitfalls that catch out everyday punters.

Bookmakers are offering odds on which quarter of 2022 Boris Johnson will leave his post as Prime Minister, although attached are options to bet on the PM remaining in place until at least 2023 - So how do the betting odds stack up, and which looks to be the most likely outcome?

Boris Johnson Exit date by Quarter

These are the odds on offer at Smarkets Exchange for when Boris johnson will cease to be Prime Minister

Date Odds Probability
March 2022 or earlier 16/1 5.88%
Apr - Jun 2022 15/8 34.78%
Jul - Sep 2022 5/1 16.67%
Oct - Dec 2022 11/1 8.33%
2023 or later 5/4 44.44%


The odds would suggest that Boris is most likely to survive in the PM role for at least the rest of 2022, although the acid test period would be April through June as the next favourite in the betting.

If Boris can last until June in office, then it looks most likely according to bookmakers odds that he will still be the Prime Minister of the country through to 2023
Nigel Skinner - Political Betting Expert - OLBG.com

With so much going on in Government at the turn of the year betting sites were quick to come up with a whole host of special betting markets based around our current prime minister alone in Boris Johnson Specials betting.

For more specific information on Boris Johnson Exit date betting, take a look at our blog which has full information and beating history


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