2026 French Open Odds: Sinner the Dominant 2/7 Favourite as Alcaraz Absence Opens the Door

Carlos Alcaraz has withdrawn from Roland Garros with a wrist injury, leaving Jannik Sinner as the dominant 2/7 favourite to claim his first French Open title in Paris.
2026 French Open Odds: Sinner the Dominant 2/7 Favourite as Alcaraz Absence Opens the Door

Poudou99, CC BY 3.0 <https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0>, via Wikimedia Commons

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  • Jannik Sinner is the dominant 2/7 favourite with bet365 to win the 2026 French Open at Roland Garros, which gets underway today
  • Sinner completed the set of all nine ATP Masters 1000 titles at just 24 years old by winning the Italian Open in Rome on Sunday
  • In the women's draw, world number one Aryna Sabalenka sits behind four-time Roland Garros champion Iga Swiatek

Roland Garros 2026: The Stage Is Set And It Belongs to Sinner

The 2026 French Open begins today at Stade Roland Garros in Paris, and the tournament landscape could scarcely be clearer. 

Bet365 have Jannik Sinner as a dominant 2/7 favourite, a price that reflects the Italian's extraordinary clay-court form, his completion of the full ATP Masters 1000 set in Rome at the weekend, and the absence of the one player who has consistently pushed him to his absolute limit. 

Carlos Alcaraz, the two-time defending champion who beat Sinner in a legendary five-hour-29-minute five-set final last year, withdrew from the tournament in late April due to a right wrist injury, ruling himself out until at least June. 

For those looking to get involved in the Roland Garros markets, the best tennis betting sites have competitive odds across all categories, and bet365 remain among the most trusted betting sites for Grand Slam tennis markets.

The absence of Alcaraz transforms this tournament from a genuine two-horse race into something closer to a coronation, at least on paper.

Sinner: The Masters 1000 Goldset and a Date With History in Paris

It is almost impossible to overstate how dominant Jannik Sinner has been in 2026. 

His victory at the Italian Open in Rome on Sunday was not just another title, but it was the completion of one of the rarest and most demanding achievements in professional tennis. 

Sinner became only the second man in history to win all nine ATP Masters 1000 titles, joining Novak Djokovic, who achieved the feat in 2018 at the age of 31. 

Sinner did it at 24, a full seven years younger, a detail that underlines not just where he is now, but how much further he could still go. He became the first Italian man in 50 years to win the Italian Open, completing his Masters 1000 set on home soil in front of a crowd that treated him like a returning hero.

In 2026, with Alcaraz absent and Sinner in the form of his life, the opportunity is as clear as it has ever been.

2026 French Open Men's Winner Odds

2026 French Open Men's WinnerOddsImplied Probability
Jannik Sinner2/777.8%
Alexander Zverev8/111.1%
Novak Djokovic12/17.7%
Arthur Fils20/14.8%
Rafael Jodar20/14.8%
Casper Ruud20/14.8%

The Men's Challengers: Zverev, Djokovic and the Long Shots

Alexander Zverev at 8/1 is the most credible challenger in the men's draw, and his 11.1% implied probability reflects both the quality of his clay-court game and the enormous gulf that exists between him and the absent Alcaraz on one side and the form-of-his-life Sinner on the other. 

Zverev reached the 2024 Roland Garros final before losing to Alcaraz, and his big-serving, aggressive baseline game gives him the tools to cause problems on the Parisian clay. 

He will need a flawless two weeks and some help from the draw to genuinely challenge Sinner.

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2026 French Open Women's Winner Odds

2026 French Open Women's Winner
OddsImplied Probability
Iga Swiatek12/529.4%
Aryna Sabalenka5/228.6%
Elena Rybakina7/112.5%
Mirra Andreeva9/110.0%
Coco Gauff9/110.0%
Elina Svitolina14/16.7%

The Women's Draw: Swiatek vs Sabalenka, and Svitolina's Extraordinary Rome Form

The women's draw at Roland Garros 2026 is one of the most genuinely open in years, and the betting market reflects a top two that cannot be separated by price alone. 

Iga Swiatek at 12/5 and Aryna Sabalenka at 5/2 share market leadership in what has become the defining rivalry in women's tennis, with the two players trading the world number one ranking across a season that has already delivered some of the most compelling women's tennis in recent memory.

Swiatek's Roland Garros record is, quite simply, without parallel in the modern women's game. The Polish four-time champion has won the title in 2020, 2022, 2023 and 2024, losing only three sets in Paris during that entire stretch.

Her clay-court dominance has been one of the constants of the sport, and despite a slightly inconsistent start to 2026 by her own extraordinary standards, there is a compelling case that Roland Garros simply brings out a different level of tennis from a player who treats Paris as her personal fortress.

Where To Bet on the 2026 French Open

With Roland Garros underway today and running until June 7, now is the time to get your tournament selections on before the early rounds shape the draw. 

Bet365 are one of the most trusted UK betting sites for Grand Slam tennis markets, with competitive outright, match and specials odds available across both the men's and women's draws. 

New customers may find free bets available, so always check the latest promotions before placing. 

For a full comparison of tennis betting markets and the best prices available, visit our guide to the best tennis betting sites.

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