Canada have a 69% Chance of Breaking World Cup Duck against Croatia

Updated: 86 Sport

Canada have a 69% Chance of Breaking World Cup Duck against Croatia

Image: AFP

Steve Madgwick Editor-In-Chief

Editor-In-Chief with 20 years experience covering the betting angles to breaking news stories. Daily slots player, Portsmouth fan and League Snooker Player

It was very much a case of what might have been in the opening World Cup game against Belgium for Canada, with chance after chance spurned and Belgium scoring against th run of play before the break, and in doing so heoldong on for another 45 minutes and breaking Canadian hearts.

With such a bright start, much was expected and it could have turned into the shock of the century for Canada to beat the 2nd best international team in the world, but it was not to be, and Canada was unable to record either their first ever World Cup Finals goal or win.

Bring on Croatia - Without a doubt a weaker side than Belgium, with the same setup and mindset, there is a 69% chance according to sportsbooks betting odds, that the elusive world cup goal can be scored.

Slightly lower is the 28% chance given for us to win the game against Croatia

After 4 consecutive losses at World Cup including the three in '86 in Mexico, defeat can be avoided for the first time and oddsmakers suggest a 57.9% chance of leaving the game with at least a draw

After defeat but a very encouraging performance against Belgium, fans will be keen to see the Maple Leafs score their first-ever goal in the finals with Jonathon David priced at +275 to score at anytime and write his name into the Candian Soccer history books

Jake Ashton - Soccer betting Expert -

Canada vs Croatia Match Odds

Outcome Odds Probability
Canada Win +250 28.6%
Draw +225 30.8%
Croatia +105 48.8%

Avoiding defeat has to be top of the priorities, but sportsbooks do give Canada a 28% chance of taking three points from the Croatians - It is not out of the question with another performance like that against Belgium, lets just hope they didn't leave too much behind in that game.

Outcome Odds Probability
Croatia or Draw -350 77.8%
Canada or Croatia -333 76.9%
Canada or Draw -138 57.9%

Other Match Betting Odds

Outcome Odds Probability
Under 2.5 Goals -150 60%
Over 2.5 Goals +110 47.6%
Both teams to Score YES -125 55.6%
Both Teams to Score NO -110 52.4%

69.9% Chance Canada will Score their first World Cup Finals Goal

Let’s not forget, that although Canada has made one appearance in the finals in 1986, they lost all three games and in doing so failed to score against Hungary, France, and the former Soviet Union, conceding 5 goals in the process.

That run extended against Belgium and the odds have gotten a little shorter, Jonathon David is rated our best chance by the oddsmakers priced at +275 to score anytime.

Jonathon David is Canadas best chance of scoring a goal according to bookmakers odds.- Image: AFP

Cyle Larin, Lucas Cavallini and Alphonso Davies are next at +300, +333, and +400 respectively

How do the Canadian Team Shape Up in The Group?

The total value of the Canadian World Cup squad according to transfermrkt amounts to a not inconsiderable 187 million Euros. However, it is the least expensive squad in the group with Morrocco worth a further 53 million, Croatia another 189 million, and Belgium's €563,000,000 squad costing 375 million more than that of Canada.

Value Value
Canada 187,300,000€ Belgium 563,200,000€ Difference 375,900,000€
Canada 187,300,000€ Morocco 241,100,000€ Difference 53,800,000€
Canada 187,300,000€ Croatia 377,000,000€ Difference 189,700,000€

The star player in the Croatian squad is Joško Gvardiol who is worth a substantial €60,000,000, which amounts to 32.03% of the value of the entire Canadian squad that has traveled to Qatar.

By Steffen Joško Gvardiol, Croatia most valuable player - Prößdorf, CC BY-SA 4.0,

Although it should be considered that Alphonso Davies is valued higher at a huge €70m and is 37.3% of the Candian Squad value himself - Much will be expected of the 22-year-old pairing of Davies and David, who combined are worth more than the other 24 players in the squad.

Canadian stars Alphonso Davies (€70m) and Jonathon David (€45m) have a combined market value of more than the other 24 players in the Canadian squad combined - Much will be resting on the shoulders of the 22 year old pair, in a squad with an average age of just about 27 years.

Jake Ashton - Soccer Betting Expert -

Squad Player Age Team Value € Proportion Of Overall
19 Alphonso Davies 22 Bayern Munich 70,000,000€ 37.37%
20 Jonathan David 22 LOSC Lille 45,000,000€ 24.03%
11 Tajon Buchanan 23 Club Brugge KV 12,000,000€ 6.41%
7 Stephen Eustaquio 25 FC Porto 8,000,000€ 4.27%
2 Alistair Johnston 24 CF Montréal 6,000,000€ 3.20%
15 Ismaël Koné 20 CF Montréal 6,000,000€ 3.20%
17 Cyle Larin 27 Club Brugge KV 6,000,000€ 3.20%
4 Kamal Miller 25 CF Montréal 4,000,000€ 2.14%
12 Iké Ugbo 24 ESTAC Troyes 4,000,000€ 2.14%

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