37% Chance Canada can Avoid Defeat for the First Time at the World Cup

Updated: 114 Sport

37% Chance Canada can Avoid Defeat for the First Time at the World Cup

Image: AFP

Steve Madgwick Editor-In-Chief

Editor-In-Chief with 20 years experience covering the betting angles to breaking news stories. Daily slots player, Portsmouth fan and League Snooker Player

  • Bookmakers' odds give Canada a 37% chance according to odds that defeat can be avoided for the first time at the World Cup
  • Belgium is hot favourite according to bookmakers with a -200 chance of winning the opening game against the Maple Leafs
  • Alphonso Davis and Jonothan David have a combined worth of more than the rest of the combined Canadian squad - Bookmaker favour them to score the first ever World Cup Final goals for Canada.

Canada makes only their second-ever appearance in the FIFA World Cup on Wednesday and will play only their fourth match in the history of the finals, after 3 losses coming in Group C in Mexico ‘86

They have the mammoth task of facing the Number 2 Ranked team in the finals in Belgium, no small task, but sportsbooks are offering odds of +550 for the Maple Leafs to take three points, and perhaps a more realistic +165 to avoid defeat in the opening game of Qatar 2022.

Odds on Belgium to inflict a 4th defeat in four World Cup Finals games for Canada might be generous at -200 but fans will be keen to see the Maple Leafs score their first-ever goal in the finals with Jonathon David priced at +330 to score at anytime and write his name into the Candian Soccer history books

Jake Ashton - Soccer betting Expert - OLBG.com

Canada vs Belgium Match Odds

Belgium is expectedly short-priced favourite to win the match with a 66.7% probability based on odds [which some might call generous] of -200

Outcome Odds Probability
Canada Win +500 16.7%
Draw +330 23.3%
Belgium -200 66.7%

Avoiding defeat would be considered a result by many against the strongest team in the group, and sportsbooks are offering +165 The Reds can do that by forcing at least a draw when considering the double-chance betting markets

Outcome Odds Probability
Belgium or Draw -1000 90.0%
Canada or Belgium -500 83.3%
Canada or Draw +165 37.7%


Other Match Betting Odds

Outcome Odds Probability
Under 2.5 Goals +100 50%
Over 2.5 Goals -150 60%
Both teams to Score YES -125 55.6%
Both Teams to Score NO -110 52.4%


62.3% Chance Canada will Score their first World Cup Finals Goal

Let’s not forget, that although Canada has made one appearance in the finals in 1986, they lost all three games and in doing so failed to score against Hungary, France, and the former Soviet Union, conceding 5 goals in the process.

Sportsbooks are offering odds of -165 for Canada to score in the game, which would raise more than a cheer we are sure to celebrate the first-ever World Cup finals goal.

Who could score that goal? Well Jonathon David is priced at +330 to score anytime and is the most favoured by betting sites

Jonathon David is Canadas best chance of scoring a goal according to bookmakers odds.- Image: AFP

Cyle Larin, Lucas Cavallini and Alphonso Davies are next at +350, +400, and +450 respectively

How do the Candian Team Shape Up in The Group?

The total value of the Canadian World Cup squad according to transfermrkt amounts to a not inconsiderable 187 million Euros. However, it is the least expensive squad in the group with Morrocco worth a further 53 million, Croatia another 189 million, and Belgium's €563,000,000 squad costing 375 million more than that of Canada.

Value Value
Canada 187,300,000€ Belgium 563,200,000€ Difference 375,900,000€
Canada 187,300,000€ Morocco 241,100,000€ Difference 53,800,000€
Canada 187,300,000€ Croatia 377,000,000€ Difference 189,700,000€
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The star player in the Belgian squad is Kevin de Bruyne who is worth an incredible €80,000,000 alone, which amounts to 42.71% of the value of the entire Canadian squad that has traveled to Qatar.

Belgian star Kevin de Bruyne worth €80,000,000 or 42.7% of the entire Candian Squad traveling to Qatar

Although it should be considered that Alphonso Davies is valued at a huge €70m and is 37.3% of the Candian Squad value himself - Much will be expected of the 22 year old pairing of Davies and David, who combined are worth more than the other 24 players in the squad.

Canadian stars Alphonso Davies (€70m) and Jonathon David (€45m) have a combined market value of more than the other 24 players in the Canadian squad combined - Much will be resting on the shoulders of the 22 year old pair, in a squad with an average age of just about 27 years.

Jake Ashton - Soccer Betting Expert - OLBG.com

Squad Player Age Team Value € Proportion Of Overall
19 Alphonso Davies 22 Bayern Munich 70,000,000€ 37.37%
20 Jonathan David 22 LOSC Lille 45,000,000€ 24.03%
11 Tajon Buchanan 23 Club Brugge KV 12,000,000€ 6.41%
7 Stephen Eustaquio 25 FC Porto 8,000,000€ 4.27%
2 Alistair Johnston 24 CF Montréal 6,000,000€ 3.20%
15 Ismaël Koné 20 CF Montréal 6,000,000€ 3.20%
17 Cyle Larin 27 Club Brugge KV 6,000,000€ 3.20%
4 Kamal Miller 25 CF Montréal 4,000,000€ 2.14%
12 Iké Ugbo 24 ESTAC Troyes 4,000,000€ 2.14%
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