Betting on NFL: A Guide to the Best Markets and Events

Touch-Down into the world of NFL betting with ease! Our article breaks down the basics, offering you key strategies and tips to make your bets count.
Betting on NFL: A Guide to the Best Markets and Events
Luke Bradshaw Lee
Luke Bradshaw Lee Senior Sports Betting Editor

Experienced sports journalist and editor covering multiple aspects within the sports and betting industry. A football, NFL and rugby specialist, he is a judge at the Football Content Awards.

Ready to tackle NFL betting but don't know where to start? Dive into our comprehensive guide tailored for beginners, where we explain the odds, share strategy, and give you a play-by-play on how to place winning bets. Unlock the excitement of American football betting!

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NFL Betting Introduction

The NFL is the most popular sport in America and one of the most profitable for gamblers. 

The season runs from September to February and culminates with the Super Bowl. 

Every season we cover all the stats, stories and tactics that are available on the season's biggest game via the Super Bowl Betting Guide.

Prior to this there are many opportunities to bet on your favorite teams, with a huge variety of odds and markets available.

If you're new to American Football betting, it can be intimidating, there are so many teams and games happening on any given day that it can be hard to know where to start.

We'll get you started with some of the best bets for beginners and a breakdown of what events happen during each game.

With games now taking place at Wembley Stadium, even though NFL has been shown on the TV in the UK since the 80's its popularity continues to grow and with it, the interest in betting on the sport.

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So join us we take an in-depth look at betting on American Football, the do's, the don'ts and how to become great at NFL Betting by going through these three introductory ideas.

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Types of bet You can Make on the NFL

Point Spread

The main bet on American Football matches is always going to be the point spread or handicap as it tends to be better known as over here. 

Due to American sports (American Football included) going to overtime when the score is tied there are only two possible winning outcomes making many games uncompetitive from a betting point of view. 

This is where handicapping comes in. 

One side is given a lead and the other is given a handicap and the amount of handicap will always depend on how evenly matched the two sides are.

Superbowl 58 Spread/ResultTeamTeam
Point Spread
San Francisco 49ers (-2) 
Kansas City Chiefs (+2)
ResultSan Francisco 49ers (22)
 Kansas City Chiefs (25)

As you can see above Kansas City Chiefs covered the spread. 

The idea being that once the handicap has been applied the teams have an equal chance of winning and are priced very closely with the same odds very often: that is the aim of the handicap market.

Picking the right bets in the point spread market has the same principles as picking value bets in other sports. 

The odds are the same so it is simply a case of picking the most over or underestimated sides in each round of games. 

In a game where you were betting on the winner, you’d look for odds that you think are too big compared to a team’s chance of winning, here you look for handicaps that are too big or small on each team in your opinion. 

The bigger you disagree with the handicap, the better the bet should be, as long as you have called the game correctly.

Kevin Sabitus // Getty Images

Money Line

Although many punters prefer the more competitive odds on offer in handicap betting there are still some that simply prefer to call the game as it is and bet on which side will win. 

There is much more range in the odds available on various matches and there is still some very good value to be had so it is worth comparing the match outcome odds with the handicap odds to find the best bets.

Superbowl 58 TeamAmerican OddsUK Odds
San Francisco 49ers (-130 favorites)
You need to bet $130 to win $100
5/6
The Chiefs (+110 underdogs)
You need to  bet $100 on them to win $110.
1/1

Points Betting

Effectively correct score’betting for American Football, 

Points betting allows punters to predict the number of points scored by one, or both of the teams involved in a given match. 

Superbowl 58
Points Scored
BetOver/Under 47.5

Because this market is more open than the handicap betting the odds on offer can be much more rewarding, as can the returns for those who are willing to delve into stats for each matchup.

This really wraps up the straight bets on the NFL, after these, we move into the world of Proposition betting!

Don't worry, it's not as scary as it sounds and you've probably made prop bets before anyway.

Ronald Martinez // Getty Images

You can check all the OLBG members NFL tips throughout the season, or why not add your own NFL tips and become the NFL Betting Expert to follow. 


You Already Know What A Proposition Bet Is : Believe it Or not!

A proposition bet is when you are betting on the possible outcome of a different 'proposition' to that of the 'standard' betting markets.

In fact, the bet will have little to do with the final outcome of the game, and rather something that happens in a specific time frame, period of play or with an individual player.

If you have ever bet on soccer, then you have almost certainly bet on a first goalscorer, correct score or one of those bet builder type request a bets.

Well, that is a proposition bet. 

Here are some of the more popular 'Prop Bets' you can expect to find betting on the NFL.

They can also be broken down in Game Props, and player props.

Game Props

Game props are markets that are considered for the game in general, such as yards and passing combined from all players or each team. 

Total Rushing Yards

Total rushing yards are the total off all rushing yards from every player and both teams in the game. 

The bookmaker will offer a line, this will be their prediction of how many rushing yards will be that total at the end of the game and you have to predict whether it will be greater or fewer in total. 

The odds will be in the handicap style close to 2.00 as possible with an edge locked in for the bookie, so you may have 1.95 on either side or thereabouts

Total Passes

Total passes will be calculated in the same way as the under/over markets. 

With a line given for you to predict of there will be more or less than the predicted total from the bookmaker offering the odds. 

Look for teams' recent lineups and tactics, and try to work out, given recent form or previous games between the sides how they might play this on the offense.

Also, take into consideration the defence of each team and how effective they are on closing down the quarterback.

Number of TD's

This is an obvious one, and games can really differ here with lots or very few touchdowns, this market is the one most closely associated to the total goals in soccer betting

You can even bet on the Coin Toss!

That' right!, You can even bet on which side will win the coin toss to start the game. 

This is one of the worst bets you can make, so I would recommend avoiding this at all costs. 

The chances of the two outcomes are always 2.00, but you will never be able to bet at those odds, it will always be 1.98 at the very best meaning it is a bad value bet.

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Team Prop Bets

Team prop bets work almost exactly the same as game props, in that the same type of markets will be available but only those incidents directly relating to one team of the other will be considered. 

This is a good area to try to specialise in, especially if you know a great deal about one team or follow the closely as a fan. 

You will know what the lines-ups might be, you'll understand how they have been playing in recent time and if their current form is good or bad, playing at home or on the road. 

The more you know about a single team or maybe a team per division, the better placed you will be to identify when the bookies might have made a mistake with the odds and be ale to grab a good value NFL bet

Player Props Bets

Player props bets are similar to game bets with the exception they will be based around players individually. 

To Score the First Touchdown

Very much like first goalscorer bets in football, here you will be nominating a player that will score the first touchdown in the game. 

You might be able to get an each-way bet. 

An each-way bet on the first touch down would offer a fraction of the odds if your nominated player fails to score the first touchdown but dos score one at any time in the game

By the same token, a bet for scoring a touchdown at any time is a very probable market that will be available with many bookmakers on American football games.

Player Rushing Yards Over/Under

Take a look at the wide receivers here and make a prediction as to whether they will rush more or fewer yards than the bookmaker has set the line.

Player Passing yards Over/Under

How well do you know the quarterbacks playing for each team and how adept are they at teaming up with the receivers and making pin point passes. 

Or has the team a hole in the defense where the quarterback is not so adept at finding the pace to even make a pass attempt. 

You can predict over or under the given passing line provided by the bookmaker.

Half Time/Full Time

A fairly self explanatory market, this bet requires the bettor to predict the outcome at both half time and full time. 

There are no handicaps involved in this bet and it helps offer more competitive odds than simply backing the match outcome. 

Some teams can be better earlier in games and others will improve as the quarters pass and these factors are important considerations in this market.

First Scoring Play

A bit of a fun bet really, this is a bet on which play results in the first points for either side. 

Depending on which bookie you are betting with, you may only be able to bet on the type of play or you may be able to specify which side will score with that play, therefore increasing the odds. 

You should find touchdowns are most likely whilst the biggest odds in this market will be found on safety or ‘other scoring method’ depending on how many outcomes the bookies have priced up.

The best betting sites often have specials,promotions or free bets on these type of proposition markets especially as the football season progresses. 

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In-Play American Football Betting

Betting in-play on American football is a great idea if you plan to watch the game live on the TV. 

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With so much American football now available to watch on satellite and cable channels in the UK you can pick and choose which games to watch and bet on.

All the normal markets are likely to go in play in term of the lines and spreads, and the money line markets.

Other options for in play betting on the NFL will include

  • Next Touchdown
  • Next Sack
  • Next Field Goal

These markets offer the opportunity to watch the run of play and make predictions on which team will score the next touchdown.

Obviously the closer they are to the end zone, and as long as they are on first down, the lower the odds may be.

If they are on a 4th down and the quarterback has not been firing on all cylinders, you may want to bet again them reaching the end zone by touch down or kicking a field goal.

You will be amazed at the sheer number of in play betting markets available for betting on American football

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Tips for Winning Betting on American Football

The best approach to betting on American football is to only bet on what you know.

Don't go picking some random markets because the odds look good. by the same token, don't be taken in by very short-looking odds that look like dead certs to win. 

There is nothing certain about a possible outcome even if you see odds of 1.10. There are many a finger been burned by someone betting £100 to win £10 on a 1.10 shot only for it to fail.

Try specialising in certain teams, follow them closely and learn everything you can about them. 

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You'll be up to speed with their current form home and away, and how they perform against other teams in the division. 

The more you know the more likely you will be able to find a good value bet where the bookies might have got something wrong, or you have some intelligence about a team that they may have missed.

NFL Betting Guide Summary

So after reading all the information on this betting on the NFL guide, you are in a great position to start betting on your favourite teams. 

You will know the basics of each type bet and when to place a high stake, you can then go ahead with confidence knowing all about NFL bets. 

FAQ

FAQ

NFL Betting Frequently Asked Question

  • How do you bet on NFL football?

  • Where can I bet on NFL games?

  • What is Moneyline in betting NFL

  • Should I bet Spread or Moneyline?

  • Is it legal to bet on NFL games?

  • How do NFL spreads work?

  • How do plus and minus odds work?

  • What does over under mean in NFL?

  • What is the best site to bet on football?

  • Where can I bet on the Superbowl online?

  • Who is going to win the Superbowl?

Responsible Gambling

When betting on American football or in truth when placing any bet we always advise you Gamble Responsibly. 

On OLBG, we have always advocated this approach since the site was created in 2002. 

With this in mind, we have added a range of responsible gambling articles on the site; two examples are below. 

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We also have links to charitable gaming organisations at the foot of every page to assist you if you feel your gambling is getting out of hand.

Author

OLBG Betting Expert Luke Bradshaw Lee is the author of the NFL guide. A very keen American Football fan the sport is his betting focus. Another member of our team, Nigel Skinner, formatted, fact-checked, and updated individual sections. 

Luke Bradshaw Lee

Luke Bradshaw Lee

Senior Sports Betting Editor

Luke has been in the sports industry as a journalist since 2008, writing and editing for publications such as The Guardian, The Independent, Eurosport and Yahoo Sport, among others. Today he specialises within the betting industry, working across multiple sports. Luke is a judge for the Football Content Awards. 

πŸ‘¨β€πŸ« Specialist SubjectsπŸ”¬πŸ“š

πŸ’°Having visited and reviewed hundreds of online sports betting sites and online casinos, Luke manages all of our review content, drawing on all of our in-house experts for their views on the various sports covered by bookmakers and slots and games in casinos. As well as managing all the data collected to provide bookmaker recommendations based on individual sporting interests.

🏈 Luke is a more than keen follower of the NFL taking in as many games as he can over the weekend and always trying to attend the London NFL games each year. American football remains his main personal betting focus and he creates and contributes to our NFL Articles

πŸ‰ The obsession with funny-shaped balls continues as a big fan of both codes of Rugby, once again finding his betting angles in Rugby League with a deep knowledge of Rugby Union and its history. 

 

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