4:30 Nottingham Tips

On great form at the moment and improving all the time. Won an Epsom handicap in August, then again at Doncaster over 3 weeks ago.

Gelded back in June and probably needed the run at Doncaster after a two-month break before recently winning at Newbury by a head. Up four pounds for that run, but still progressive. Has a strong jockey booking and a decent higher draw, which is favorable here.

Tipsy Tiger won over course and distance in October 23 and also won at Sandown off 75 in September last year. He was unplaced in his next 6 starts, but having dropped to a mark of 73, he looked well handicapped again when finishing second back at Sandown last month. He has gone back up 3 lbs but still looks like a good each-way bet with 5 places on offer.

Just four runs for the 4-year-old this year. An improved effort three weeks ago when 4th of 11 and probably better than the bare stats. He made the running and was going as well as any 3 furlongs out, hampered and lost momentum a furlong and no chance behind the front two after - he did have six runners behind him rated 86-100. He has a 3-pound lower mark now and is up against rivals rated 68-80. He was rated 9 pounds higher on his return this year.

Finished 1 length behind The Ability in a maiden. That horse has won a class 4, a class 3, and a class 2 since and is now rated 100 or more. Conceivable to assume that Caughtredhanded is rated higher than 76. Owner sent out handicap debutante winner in July. Havlin is the top-earning jockey for the owner and has a positive 20%+ strike rate.

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I love the way this well bred filly stayed on to win on the AW on debut and she looks to have a major chance here off this mark. After that she faded over further on turf but that was due to it being her seasonal reappearance rather than any stamina concerns and she will strip fitter now. There's lots of collateral form on show from those 2 races which in my opinion would have her nearer to an 85+ type horse rather than the 79 she races off here and there's no way she should be a double figure price in my opinion.

Arthur's Realm needs to recapture the form of his fifth of 21 in the Spring Mile at Doncaster in March. That was, by 13 pounds, his best turf performance. The ground was good to soft which is the forecast going at Nottingham. The race was at Class 2 level. Arthur's Realm drops to Class 4 today and is seven pounds lower on the official ratings. Mason Paetel takes over in the saddle. His five pounds allowance can come in useful here. The horse's record when ridden by jockeys who are claiming allowances is 122. Trainer Ed Dunlop is going well with winners and several placed horses recently.

Distance winner who has been running over further distances. Predominantly been running over the mile and a half, weakening 2 furlongs out mainly. Switch back in distance to the mile and a quarter might suit him better.