5:45 Roscommon Tips

Eighteenth Smiles made the frame for the first time running 3rd of 7 in a nursery handicap at Galway that was his fifth race and he switches back to maiden company to try to lose his maiden tag.

A bit of a step back in her last race after two improving runs in her first two races. She may have been caught flat-footed over 7 furlongs and will be better suited with this slight step up in trip. She's worth another chance.

Green Sparkle looks the more interesting outsider to play in what feels like a race where a big price could easily make the frame. This is a restricted 2yo maiden and the ratings are fairly compressed, so there doesn't appear to be a standout with a huge amount in hand. Green Sparkle has already posted an RPR of 71, which puts her much closer to several shorter-priced rivals than 40/1 suggests. She also has a strong pedigree, being by Lope De Vega and a half-sister to Group 2 winner Real Appeal, while Joseph O'Brien now reaches for a first-time hood. She needs to bounce back from a poor latest run, and the wide draw is a negative. At 40/1 she looks overpriced enough to be worth an each-way chance.